0x48ee…008c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x48eec168fba4eb296ef39c57a009c43dc646008c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.6pp

ROI

+43%

Win rate

41% @ 33.4¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

527

Avg size

$184

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (50/145)	+61%	145
Politics	30% (18/60)	-4%	60
Geopolitics	11% (1/9)	+12%	9
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other145 bets
Hit rate
34% (50/145)
ROI
+61%
Politics60 bets
Hit rate
30% (18/60)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
+12%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 69/217

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$100	80.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$600	57.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$13	5.4¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$10	8.8¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$100	35.8¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	Yes	$100	27.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$793	62.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$420	21.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$609	61.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$454	38.9¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$120	19.4¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$140	47.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$70	10.3¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$900	30.3¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$200	66.4¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$149	35.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$73	20.2¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$19	24.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$100	49.8¢	Won
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	$100	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$328	36.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$300	67.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$500	41.6¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	21.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$573	56.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$505	67.0¢	Won
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$70	11.5¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$336	7.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$300	85.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$136	39.8¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$1.2k	15.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?	Yes	$100	9.9¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$630	21.3¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$300	13.9¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$214	61.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$410	3.6¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$100	83.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$40	38.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$30	32.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	Yes	$300	66.2¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$145	42.9¢	Lost
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$123	17.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$196	35.0¢	Lost
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	No	$5	33.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	12.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	Yes	$200	88.6¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	$30	3.4¢	Lost
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$395	20.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$600	57.3¢	Won

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$100 @ 80.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$600 @ 57.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$13 @ 5.4¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 35.8¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Lost
Yes$100 @ 27.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$793 @ 62.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$420 @ 21.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$609 @ 61.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$454 @ 38.9¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$120 @ 19.4¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$140 @ 47.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 10.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$900 @ 30.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$200 @ 66.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$149 @ 35.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$73 @ 20.2¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Lost
Yes$19 @ 24.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$100 @ 49.8¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
No$100 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$328 @ 36.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$300 @ 67.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$500 @ 41.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 21.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$573 @ 56.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$505 @ 67.0¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$70 @ 11.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$336 @ 7.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Won
Yes$300 @ 85.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Lost
Yes$136 @ 39.8¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 15.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.9¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$630 @ 21.3¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$300 @ 13.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$214 @ 61.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$410 @ 3.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$100 @ 83.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$30 @ 32.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Lost
Yes$300 @ 66.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$145 @ 42.9¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$123 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$196 @ 35.0¢
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Lost
No$5 @ 33.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 12.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Won
Yes$200 @ 88.6¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Lost
No$30 @ 3.4¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Lost
Yes$395 @ 20.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$600 @ 57.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8.1k	38.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7.8k	26.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	26.1¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	27.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$763	17.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$575	24.8¢
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$563	18.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$367	45.9¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$310	35.0¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$270	23.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$260	13.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$260	22.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$240	18.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$223	21.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$150	10.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$145	29.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$136	17.0¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$130	28.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$100	32.5¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	17.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	19.1¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$100	25.4¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	5.2¢
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$96	9.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$93	31.0¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$90	8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$64	42.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$63	25.0¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$47	18.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$40	46.0¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$8.1k @ 38.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$7.8k @ 26.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 26.1¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 27.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$763 @ 17.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
Yes$575 @ 24.8¢
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics
Yes$563 @ 18.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$367 @ 45.9¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
Yes$310 @ 35.0¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$270 @ 23.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$260 @ 22.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$240 @ 18.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$223 @ 21.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$150 @ 10.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$136 @ 17.0¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics
Yes$130 @ 28.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$100 @ 32.5¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 17.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 19.1¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$100 @ 25.4¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 5.2¢
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$96 @ 9.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$93 @ 31.0¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$90 @ 8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$64 @ 42.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics
Yes$63 @ 25.0¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics
Yes$47 @ 18.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$40 @ 46.0¢