← Smart money
0x45e2…7261
ProfitableEdge
+14.0pp
ROI
+169%
Win rate
44% @ 30.0¢
Brier
0.221
Resolved
50
Avg size
$21
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 46% (6/13) | +25% | 13 |
| Other | 33% (4/12) | +82% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +0% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +2473% | 1 |
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +25%
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- +82%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +0%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +2473%
Track record
42% hit · 13/31- No$74 @ 97.2¢
- No$4 @ 99.8¢
- No$7 @ 99.7¢
- No$5 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$25 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$13 @ 9.0¢
- Arman Tsarukyan$25 @ 75.0¢
- No$20 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$106 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$63 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.7¢
- No$19 @ 89.0¢
- No$17 @ 86.0¢
- Argentina$126 @ 80.5¢
- Yes$51 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$76 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$27 @ 2.4¢
- No$25 @ 5.0¢
- No$53 @ 30.9¢
- Senegal$25 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 3.2¢
- No$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 25.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$176 @ 96.0¢
- No$74 @ 97.2¢
- Yes$29 @ 30.8¢
- Mayweather$25 @ 50.0¢
- Pacquiao$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 98.2¢
- No$25 @ 96.2¢
- No$25 @ 88.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$25 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
- No$8 @ 96.0¢
- No$7 @ 99.7¢
- No$5 @ 99.0¢
- No$4 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 32.0¢