← Smart money
0x4527…f137
ProfitableSniperEdge
+22.1pp
ROI
+119%
Win rate
39% @ 16.4¢
Brier
0.295
Resolved
122
Avg size
$33
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +143% | 4 |
| Other | 50% (2/4) | -58% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -43% | 4 |
| Science | 50% (1/2) | +20178% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +143%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -58%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -43%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +20178%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
40% hit · 6/15- Yes$951 @ 79.3¢
- Yes$252 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$660 @ 19.5¢
- No$96 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$151 @ 6.4¢
- No$12 @ 0.3¢
- No$160 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
- No$870 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 13.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $951 | 79.3¢ |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $911 | 93.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $698 | 99.7¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $644 | 53.7¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $531 | 76.0¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $502 | 50.0¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $502 | 50.0¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $350 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $252 | 21.0¢ |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $90 | 89.0¢ |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $60 | 98.2¢ |
- Yes$951 @ 79.3¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$911 @ 93.0¢
- No$698 @ 99.7¢
- No$644 @ 53.7¢
- Yes$531 @ 76.0¢
- No$502 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$502 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$252 @ 21.0¢
- No$90 @ 89.0¢
- No$60 @ 98.2¢