← Smart money
0x435a…818b
ProfitableEdge
+26.1pp
ROI
+88%
Win rate
41% @ 15.3¢
Brier
0.227
Resolved
70
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 29% (4/14) | +91% | 14 |
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- +91%
Track record
29% hit · 4/14- Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
- No$42 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$76 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$15 @ 3.8¢
- No$12 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 3.7¢
- No$7 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 7.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $41 | 10.8¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $23 | 8.3¢ |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $17 | 84.6¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.7¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.8¢ |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 2.9¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.3¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.1¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.8¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.7¢ |
- Yes$41 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$23 @ 8.3¢
- No$17 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.7¢