0x42b7…abff

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x42b7601fea87e5b1ea958ffe47647945fabcabff
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+12.0pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

55% @ 43.0¢

Brier

0.260

Resolved

433

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (58/124)	-6%	124
Sports	38% (8/21)	+111%	21
Politics	60% (6/10)	-14%	10
Economy	67% (2/3)	+279%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other124 bets
Hit rate
47% (58/124)
ROI
-6%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
+111%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
-14%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+279%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 74/162

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 18?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$63	38.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	3DMAX	$4	14.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	$62	70.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$21	53.4¢	Won
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	Under	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$4	55.0¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$2	45.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$27	38.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	$9	31.1¢	Won
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	$8	23.9¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$27	18.4¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?	No	$18	77.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	$3	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	Yes	$6	43.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$29	70.6¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$36	42.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$19	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?	No	$7	75.0¢	Won
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$4	70.7¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$4	27.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	$9	86.1¢	Won
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$2	75.9¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$7	62.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$6	27.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$16	52.1¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$9	5.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	MIBR	$31	32.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	$9	80.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	$12	33.5¢	Lost
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	$2	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	$15	86.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Lost
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	$20	55.6¢	Won
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$24	48.0¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?	Yes	$17	85.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	Metizport	$7	10.4¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	$2	88.0¢	Lost
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)	Vitality	$6	59.5¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	15.6¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$7	24.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	Bushido Wildcats	$12	59.0¢	Lost
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	$15	64.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	$9	74.7¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	74.8¢	Won

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 18?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$63 @ 38.4¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
3DMAX$4 @ 14.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$62 @ 70.2¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$21 @ 53.4¢
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Lost
Under$3 @ 51.0¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total CornersLost
Under$4 @ 55.0¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Under$2 @ 45.0¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$27 @ 38.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Won
Yes$9 @ 31.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$8 @ 23.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$27 @ 18.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$5 @ 27.0¢
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?Lost
No$18 @ 77.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?Won
No$3 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?Lost
Yes$6 @ 43.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$29 @ 70.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$36 @ 42.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$19 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?Won
No$7 @ 75.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Won
Yes$4 @ 70.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Won
Yes$9 @ 86.1¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Won
Yes$2 @ 75.9¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$7 @ 62.7¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
No$6 @ 27.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerWon
Aurora Gaming$16 @ 52.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$9 @ 5.2¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLost
MIBR$31 @ 32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?Won
Yes$9 @ 80.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?Lost
Yes$12 @ 33.5¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Lost
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?Won
No$15 @ 86.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Won
No$20 @ 55.6¢
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?Won
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ALost
Metizport$7 @ 10.4¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Lost
No$2 @ 88.0¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Lost
Vitality$6 @ 59.5¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 15.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 24.9¢
Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageLost
Bushido Wildcats$12 @ 59.0¢
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Won
No$15 @ 64.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$9 @ 74.7¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 74.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$37	80.0¢
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	—	No	$29	76.3¢
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	—	No	$24	18.0¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$23	86.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$21	72.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$16	84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$16	62.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?	—	No	$13	78.4¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Politics	No	$12	91.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$12	77.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$11	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$11	50.0¢
Will the CAQ win 25-29 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	—	No	$11	74.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Politics	No	$10	40.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$10	93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	—	No	$10	66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?	—	Yes	$10	22.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$9	38.6¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$8	63.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$8	16.2¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	—	Yes	$7	72.5¢
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	—	Yes	$7	26.0¢
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in September?	—	No	$7	75.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18?	—	No	$6	63.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20?	—	No	$6	62.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$6	46.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	—	No	$6	68.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Politics	No	$5	76.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	65.0¢
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	51.0¢

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics
Yes$37 @ 80.0¢
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?—
No$29 @ 76.3¢
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?—
No$24 @ 18.0¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$23 @ 86.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$21 @ 72.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$16 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$16 @ 62.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?—
No$13 @ 78.4¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics
No$12 @ 91.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 77.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$11 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$11 @ 50.0¢
Will the CAQ win 25-29 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?—
No$11 @ 74.0¢
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics
No$10 @ 40.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$10 @ 93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?—
No$10 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?—
Yes$10 @ 22.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
No$9 @ 38.6¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$8 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 16.2¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?—
Yes$7 @ 72.5¢
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?—
Yes$7 @ 26.0¢
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in September?—
No$7 @ 75.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18?—
No$6 @ 63.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20?—
No$6 @ 62.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$6 @ 46.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?—
No$6 @ 68.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics
No$5 @ 76.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢