← Smart money
0x4255…5596
ProfitableEdge
+25.6pp
ROI
+85%
Win rate
69% @ 43.8¢
Brier
0.294
Resolved
72
Avg size
$34
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (10/22) | -29% | 22 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -4% | 2 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +155% | 1 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (10/22)
- ROI
- -29%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -4%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +155%
Track record
44% hit · 12/27- Yes$31 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
- 0x1760f672…LostYes$25 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
- Canada$57 @ 75.0¢
- Nigma Galaxy$21 @ 38.0¢
- No$30 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 14.0¢
- Argentina$21 @ 45.7¢
- Spain$30 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$73 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 49.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 39.2¢
- 0xd6d70644…WonYes$25 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 46.9¢
- 0xd839785e…WonNo$47 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Nigma Galaxy$10 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$71 @ 39.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $67 | 33.6¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $30 | 37.0¢ |
- Yes$67 @ 33.6¢
- Yes$30 @ 37.0¢