← Smart money
0x41c7…1514
SharpEdge
+14.3pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
75% @ 60.7¢
Brier
0.144
Resolved
60
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 76% (22/29) | +23% | 29 |
| Sports | 58% (11/19) | -21% | 19 |
| Politics | 100% (14/14) | +20% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other29 bets
- Hit rate
- 76% (22/29)
- ROI
- +23%
- Sports19 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (11/19)
- ROI
- -21%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (14/14)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
76% hit · 48/63- No$1 @ 99.4¢
- No$4 @ 98.6¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- No$1 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
- No$5 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 69.0¢
- No$2 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
- No$2 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$5 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- No$1 @ 89.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- Over$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 82.0¢
- Over$3 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 48.0¢
- Over$2 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
- No$9 @ 61.0¢
- Egypt$1 @ 39.0¢
- No$50 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 44.4¢
- Over$3 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
- Over$5 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 75.0¢
- No$1 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
- Under$1 @ 81.0¢
- No$8 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
- No$2 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Economy | No | $39 | 91.4¢ |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Politics | Yes | $38 | 90.7¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $16 | 94.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $14 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $9 | 96.2¢ |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $9 | 98.8¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $4 | 98.6¢ |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Politics | No | $4 | 98.5¢ |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Culture | No | $1 | 98.2¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 81.0¢ |
- No$39 @ 91.4¢
- Yes$38 @ 90.7¢
- No$16 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 75.0¢
- No$9 @ 96.2¢
- No$9 @ 98.8¢
- No$4 @ 98.6¢
- Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?PoliticsNo$4 @ 98.5¢
- No$1 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 81.0¢