← Smart money
0x41a3…8d0d
ProfitableEdge
+29.7pp
ROI
+59%
Win rate
77% @ 46.9¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
30
Avg size
$54
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 73% (11/15) | +79% | 15 |
| Politics | 71% (5/7) | +48% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +72% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
- Other15 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (11/15)
- ROI
- +79%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +48%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +72%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
Track record
75% hit · 18/24- Yes$194 @ 48.5¢
- No$100 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 30.0¢
- No$58 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
- No$173 @ 57.7¢
- Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 46.2¢
- Yes$41 @ 66.0¢
- No$67 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$98 @ 31.7¢
- No$50 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 76.0¢
- No$100 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$101 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 24.3¢
- No$85 @ 42.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 35.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Politics | No | $138 | 69.0¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $120 | 38.7¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $105 | 70.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 43.1¢ |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $94 | 18.8¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $68 | 34.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $55 | 55.0¢ |
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$138 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 38.7¢
- No$105 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 43.1¢
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$94 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
- No$55 @ 55.0¢