0x3f5e…ddcf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f5ef04e6ba448984011d03e56fbdb41add4ddcf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.8pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

63% @ 45.3¢

Brier

0.139

Resolved

Avg size

$68

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	25% (3/12)	+1%	12
Other	80% (4/5)	+3%	5
Politics	100% (2/2)	+66%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Sports12 bets
Hit rate
25% (3/12)
ROI
+1%
Other5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+3%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+66%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

Track record

50% hit · 10/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$115	13.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$3	83.4¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$55	5.6¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$120	89.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	6.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$675	19.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	6.7¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.8k	58.9¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	No	$64	43.3¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$667	37.4¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$177	79.9¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$239	21.6¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$58	5.5¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$533	86.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	$10	78.3¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	No	$170	71.0¢	Lost
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	$224	82.5¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	$178	76.0¢	Won

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$115 @ 13.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$3 @ 83.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$55 @ 5.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$120 @ 89.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 6.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$675 @ 19.2¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$14 @ 6.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 58.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?Won
No$64 @ 43.3¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$667 @ 37.4¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$177 @ 79.9¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$239 @ 21.6¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$58 @ 5.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
No$533 @ 86.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?Won
No$10 @ 78.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Lost
No$170 @ 71.0¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Won
Yes$224 @ 82.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?Won
No$178 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Crypto	No	$117	74.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	No	$49	65.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?Crypto
No$117 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
No$49 @ 65.0¢