← Smart money
0x3e57…84a5
SharpROI
+15%
Win rate
86%
Brier
0.044
Resolved
152
Avg size
$837
Specialization by sphere
Track record accruing — per-sphere edge appears as markets resolve.
Track record
No resolved bets captured yet.
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Politics | No | $3.0k | 94.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | Politics | No | $2.4k | 95.7¢ |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | Other | No | $1.1k | 95.9¢ |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? | Culture | Yes | $1.0k | 97.2¢ |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $450 | 90.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $279 | 93.0¢ |
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | Economy | No | $113 | 94.1¢ |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Politics | No | $105 | 95.3¢ |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Other | No | $81 | 95.0¢ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | Politics | No | $18 | 90.3¢ |
| Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? | Tech | No | $11 | 93.4¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $7 | 88.0¢ |
- No$3.0k @ 94.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 95.7¢
- No$1.1k @ 95.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 97.2¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$450 @ 90.0¢
- No$279 @ 93.0¢
- No$113 @ 94.1¢
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsNo$105 @ 95.3¢
- No$81 @ 95.0¢
- No$18 @ 90.3¢
- No$11 @ 93.4¢
- No$7 @ 88.0¢