0x3e57…84a5

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other15 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (10/15)

  ROI

  +24%

• Politics11 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (11/11)

  ROI

  +6%

• Economy4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -94%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +8%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +7%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +3%

• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
  No$144.3k @ 76.5¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1.8k @ 35.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 68.0¢
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 37.7¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
  No$54.2k @ 85.7¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$786 @ 3.7¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
  No$201 @ 51.2¢
• Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Won
  Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Won
  Yes$155 @ 55.5¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
  Yes$83 @ 21.2¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Won
  No$11 @ 93.4¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
  No$45 @ 90.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31?Won
  Yes$28 @ 95.5¢
• Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31?Won
  Yes$31 @ 95.4¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
  No$0 @ 0.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Won
  No$48 @ 96.0¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31?Won
  Yes$82 @ 97.4¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$34 @ 69.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Won
  No$2.5k @ 94.0¢
• Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?Won
  No$109 @ 95.0¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$105 @ 95.3¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
  No$970 @ 98.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Won
  No$1.1k @ 95.9¢
• Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Won
  No$113 @ 94.1¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Lost
  No$81 @ 95.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$292 @ 97.4¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Won
  No$146 @ 97.4¢
• Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$97 @ 96.9¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Won
  No$194 @ 97.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?Won
  No$85 @ 97.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$570 @ 95.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?Won
  Yes$170 @ 98.3¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Won
  No$178 @ 89.0¢
• Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Won
  No$161 @ 95.8¢

Current positions

• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Other
  No$899 @ 87.5¢
• Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics
  No$893 @ 84.2¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$418 @ 82.8¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$396 @ 88.0¢
• Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$376 @ 93.9¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$198 @ 79.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
  No$74 @ 87.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Other
  No$16 @ 81.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$7 @ 88.0¢