0x3773…f0dd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x377326c9360302d15d5ce7f7ad5718e27837f0dd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

46% @ 37.4¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

140

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (15/31)	+30%	31
Science	80% (8/10)	+6%	10
Politics	50% (3/6)	-4%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Business	100% (1/1)	+178%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
48% (15/31)
ROI
+30%
Science10 bets
Hit rate
80% (8/10)
ROI
+6%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+178%

Track record

55% hit · 27/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 22?	No	$119	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 22?	No	$532	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 22?	No	$168	97.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?	No	$178	96.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 22?	No	$159	98.4¢	Won
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$6	2.9¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca	Roman Safiullin	$36	25.0¢	Won
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	$92	46.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?	No	$93	80.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	No	$61	20.3¢	Lost
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	$184	61.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22?	No	$10	19.7¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik	Frances Tiafoe	$36	52.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?	No	$20	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	$5	5.5¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik	Thiago Agustin Tirante	$103	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	No	$41	81.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	$47	83.0¢	Won
National Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	$101	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?	No	$5	32.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$522	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?	No	$6	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?	No	$10	9.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$41	41.0¢	Won
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	$36	59.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik	Taylor Fritz	$35	66.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$658	78.2¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?	No	$71	70.6¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	$36	49.0¢	Won
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	$36	34.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	$36	27.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon	Stefanos Tsitsipas	$102	57.0¢	Won
Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	$11	27.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	$354	29.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$3	33.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	No	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?	No	$15	74.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$13	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	$317	83.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22?	No	$54	48.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	No	$5	12.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?	No	$73	65.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?	No	$73	85.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	No	$14	15.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 22?Won
No$119 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 22?Won
No$532 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 22?Won
No$168 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 22?Won
No$178 @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 22?Won
No$159 @ 98.4¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$6 @ 2.9¢
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao FonsecaWon
Roman Safiullin$36 @ 25.0¢
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Daniel Merida Aguilar$92 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?Won
No$93 @ 80.6¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Lost
No$61 @ 20.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
No$184 @ 61.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22?Lost
No$10 @ 19.7¢
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander BublikLost
Frances Tiafoe$36 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?Lost
No$20 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or higher on August 8?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.5¢
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub MensikWon
Thiago Agustin Tirante$103 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?Won
No$41 @ 81.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?Won
Yes$47 @ 83.0¢
National Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick HanfmannWon
Yannick Hanfmann$101 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?Won
No$5 @ 32.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Won
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$522 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?Lost
No$6 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?Lost
No$10 @ 9.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil MajchrzakLost
Kamil Majchrzak$36 @ 59.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikWon
Taylor Fritz$35 @ 66.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$658 @ 78.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Lost
No$71 @ 70.6¢
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo SonegoWon
Lorenzo Sonego$36 @ 49.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime FariaLost
Jaime Faria$36 @ 34.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard StruffWon
Jan-Lennard Struff$36 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael CollignonWon
Stefanos Tsitsipas$102 @ 57.0¢
Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Won
Yes$11 @ 27.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Lost
No$354 @ 29.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Lost
No$47 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?Won
No$15 @ 74.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$13 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?Won
Yes$317 @ 83.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22?Won
No$54 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?Lost
No$5 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?Lost
No$73 @ 65.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?Lost
No$73 @ 85.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?Won
No$14 @ 15.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$23.8k	90.4¢
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	Politics	No	$6.7k	96.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$4.8k	96.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$3.6k	94.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$2.4k	96.3¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$1.8k	89.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$1.7k	97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$1.4k	93.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$1.2k	86.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.1k	97.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?	Other	No	$887	93.2¢
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	Crypto	No	$785	96.8¢
Obama arrested before 2027?	Politics	No	$680	96.9¢
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$676	96.6¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?	Other	No	$586	96.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	Other	No	$480	97.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Other	No	$399	93.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$378	47.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$366	70.3¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$331	94.6¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$326	62.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$318	63.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$312	39.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?	Other	No	$286	97.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$275	95.4¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$275	75.8¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$252	50.4¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	No	$239	34.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$232	29.0¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$23.8k @ 90.4¢
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics
No$6.7k @ 96.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Other
No$4.8k @ 96.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Other
No$3.6k @ 94.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Other
No$2.4k @ 96.3¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Other
No$1.8k @ 89.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?Other
No$1.7k @ 97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Other
No$1.4k @ 93.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
No$1.2k @ 86.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics
No$1.1k @ 97.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?Other
No$887 @ 93.2¢
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?Crypto
No$785 @ 96.8¢
Obama arrested before 2027?Politics
No$680 @ 96.9¢
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$676 @ 96.6¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?Other
No$586 @ 96.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?Other
No$480 @ 97.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Other
No$399 @ 93.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$378 @ 47.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?Other
No$366 @ 70.3¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Other
No$331 @ 94.6¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$326 @ 62.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$318 @ 63.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$312 @ 39.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?Other
No$286 @ 97.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?Other
No$275 @ 95.4¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Geopolitics
No$275 @ 75.8¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$252 @ 50.4¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
No$239 @ 34.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Geopolitics
No$232 @ 29.0¢