0x31ff…209b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x31ff6ae66fa4f102715e97719ab0c822c0d5209b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+16.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

59% @ 42.6¢

Brier

0.266

Resolved

261

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	30% (17/57)	+13%	57
Other	46% (17/37)	+13%	37
Crypto	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Tech	33% (1/3)	-47%	3
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Sports57 bets
Hit rate
30% (17/57)
ROI
+13%
Other37 bets
Hit rate
46% (17/37)
ROI
+13%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-47%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

34% hit · 35/104

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Under	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$66	66.2¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$6	21.2¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$7	11.3¢	Lost
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	$2	55.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$8	51.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$10	51.4¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$3	71.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime?	No	$1	69.0¢	Lost
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$11	49.1¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	34.4¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$114	82.5¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Lost
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	$2	56.0¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	$2	3.6¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Mark Lajal vs. Yu-Hsiou Hsu: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	$1	65.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$87	69.2¢	Won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$50	3.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$116	82.7¢	Won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$2	65.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$27	80.4¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	No	$1	64.0¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$57	36.9¢	Won
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	Vitality.Bee	$1	58.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$52	54.0¢	Lost
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	$86	0.4¢	Lost
Will s1mple retire by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	No	$1	84.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$6	17.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1	11.0¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$7	59.6¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	$12	87.6¢	Won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	$3	52.0¢	Won
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Won

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Lost
Under$1 @ 51.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$66 @ 66.2¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$6 @ 21.2¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.3¢
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lost
Thunder$2 @ 55.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$8 @ 51.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$10 @ 51.4¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$3 @ 71.0¢
Will LeBron James win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime?Lost
No$1 @ 69.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$11 @ 49.1¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 34.4¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$114 @ 82.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Lost
Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Mark Lajal vs. Yu-Hsiou Hsu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Lost
Under 2.5$1 @ 65.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$87 @ 69.2¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$116 @ 82.7¢
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$2 @ 65.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$27 @ 80.4¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Lost
No$1 @ 64.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$57 @ 36.9¢
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonWon
Vitality.Bee$1 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$52 @ 54.0¢
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?Lost
Yes$86 @ 0.4¢
Will s1mple retire by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Won
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$6 @ 17.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$7 @ 59.6¢
Lakers vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$12 @ 87.6¢
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Won
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$95	1.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$54	5.6¢
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Sports	Yes	$30	30.4¢
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Sports	No	$22	64.2¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$11	30.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$7	94.3¢
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	25.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$4	1.9¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$4	82.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3	86.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	82.9¢
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	80.3¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Sports	No	$2	85.7¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	98.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	—	No	$2	86.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$1	71.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	43.0¢
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?	Sports	No	$1	50.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$1	94.5¢
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$1	99.6¢
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1	97.2¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	—	No	$1	90.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	95.4¢
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Sports	Yes	$1	89.3¢
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Science	Yes	$1	79.0¢
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$1	75.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$1	88.0¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$1	74.0¢
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$1	92.1¢
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Sports	Yes	$1	18.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$95 @ 1.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$54 @ 5.6¢
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Sports
Yes$30 @ 30.4¢
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Sports
No$22 @ 64.2¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$11 @ 30.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$7 @ 94.3¢
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 25.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3 @ 86.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 82.9¢
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 80.3¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Sports
No$2 @ 85.7¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 98.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?—
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?Sports
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$1 @ 94.5¢
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$1 @ 99.6¢
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 97.2¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?—
No$1 @ 90.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 95.4¢
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?Sports
Yes$1 @ 89.3¢
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Science
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$1 @ 92.1¢
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Sports
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢