← Smart money
0x3162…d515
ProfitableEdge
+1.9pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
55% @ 53.5¢
Brier
0.232
Resolved
4526
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (770/1431) | +6% | 1431 |
| Sports | 51% (165/324) | -8% | 324 |
| Politics | 60% (18/30) | +50% | 30 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -71% | 2 |
- Other1431 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (770/1431)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports324 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (165/324)
- ROI
- -8%
- Politics30 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (18/30)
- ROI
- +50%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -71%
Track record
53% hit · 954/1787- Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 81.2¢
- BNK FEARX$6 @ 52.0¢
- No$6 @ 87.0¢
- Under$3 @ 51.0¢
- Karmine Corp$0 @ 0.0¢
- Team WE$12 @ 59.0¢
- Team WE$5 @ 53.0¢
- KT Rolster$9 @ 51.3¢
- KT Rolster$7 @ 71.0¢
- KT Rolster$12 @ 63.1¢
- KT Rolster$6 @ 56.0¢
- LOS$6 @ 54.0¢
- LOS$10 @ 45.0¢
- FURIA Esports$5 @ 45.0¢
- FURIA Esports$10 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
- FlyQuest$6 @ 61.0¢
- T1$18 @ 28.0¢
- T1$9 @ 28.0¢
- FlyQuest$6 @ 72.0¢
- Spirit$6 @ 52.0¢
- Paper Rex$24 @ 60.0¢
- Forsaken$6 @ 57.0¢
- Team Falcons$32 @ 60.6¢
- TheMongolz$4 @ 39.0¢
- Celtics$25 @ 73.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$11 @ 58.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$10 @ 56.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$36 @ 73.0¢
- Cavaliers$27 @ 82.6¢
- Pigeons$50 @ 39.8¢
- Cupid Esports$7 @ 56.0¢
- Vitality$23 @ 71.0¢
- Virtus.pro$33 @ 79.8¢
- Karmine Corp$11 @ 52.0¢
- MIR$3 @ 40.0¢
- Movistar KOI$23 @ 67.0¢
- Eternal Fire$24 @ 38.5¢
- Yellow Submarine$35 @ 57.7¢
- Dynamo Esports$44 @ 56.1¢
- Ilbirs eSports$3 @ 59.0¢
- Aurora$31 @ 36.3¢
- FUT Esports$16 @ 42.0¢
- Kings$14 @ 37.0¢
- Legacy$10 @ 47.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$18 @ 56.0¢
- Team Secret Whales$59 @ 70.0¢
- Xtreme Gaming$73 @ 61.3¢
- Trail Blazers$2 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 81.2¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $16 | 64.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 20.0¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $14 | 71.0¢ |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $11 | 90.0¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 83.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $6 | 64.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $6 | 84.0¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 17.0¢ |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 22.5¢ |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 16.0¢ |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | Geopolitics | No | $1 | 81.0¢ |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1 | 42.0¢ |
- Yes$18 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 20.0¢
- No$14 @ 71.0¢
- No$11 @ 90.0¢
- No$10 @ 83.0¢
- No$6 @ 64.0¢
- No$6 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$1 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 42.0¢