← Smart money
0x312d…6814
SharpEdge
+5.1pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
56% @ 51.0¢
Brier
0.194
Resolved
1712
Avg size
$29
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (295/549) | +12% | 549 |
| Sports | 52% (75/144) | +10% | 144 |
| Politics | 44% (7/16) | +75% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +35% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +189% | 1 |
- Other549 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (295/549)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports144 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (75/144)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (7/16)
- ROI
- +75%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +35%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +189%
Track record
53% hit · 379/711- No$12 @ 51.0¢
- No$7 @ 24.7¢
- No$13 @ 29.8¢
- No$4 @ 31.0¢
- No$10 @ 71.0¢
- No$200 @ 68.0¢
- No$25 @ 59.0¢
- No$23 @ 75.0¢
- No$34 @ 64.0¢
- No$8 @ 25.3¢
- No$1 @ 10.0¢
- Over$5 @ 29.0¢
- No$68 @ 34.7¢
- No$88 @ 15.8¢
- No$54 @ 55.0¢
- High Point Panthers$15 @ 22.0¢
- Wisconsin Badgers$18 @ 72.0¢
- Golden Knights$12 @ 61.0¢
- Hawks$7 @ 49.0¢
- No$144 @ 76.8¢
- Heat$50 @ 80.0¢
- No$50 @ 63.0¢
- Kings$10 @ 22.0¢
- Pacers vs. KingsLostPacers$8 @ 78.0¢
- Under$14 @ 22.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$14 @ 31.0¢
- Over$2 @ 33.0¢
- No$30 @ 72.0¢
- Texas Tech Red Raiders$7 @ 78.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$50 @ 58.0¢
- Purdue Boilermakers$9 @ 55.0¢
- Wisconsin Badgers$23 @ 33.0¢
- No$113 @ 78.0¢
- Suns$7 @ 44.0¢
- Steve Erceg$55 @ 44.7¢
- No$14 @ 32.8¢
- Pistons vs. HeatLostPistons$15 @ 19.7¢
- Under$49 @ 86.0¢
- Under$50 @ 54.0¢
- 0x08b45a89…WonNo$16 @ 65.0¢
- Over$4 @ 15.3¢
- JooSang Yoo$11 @ 12.6¢
- Michael Aswell$26 @ 46.1¢
- Panathinaikos$42 @ 64.8¢
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne$573 @ 54.4¢
- Partizan$9 @ 54.0¢
- CB 1939 Canarias$45 @ 47.0¢
- No$332 @ 64.5¢
- Under$25 @ 26.0¢
- Rockets$50 @ 58.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Business | No | $216 | 17.0¢ |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | No | $200 | 58.6¢ |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | No | $198 | 67.0¢ |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Politics | No | $134 | 32.5¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $118 | 79.6¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $83 | 37.1¢ |
| Clermont Foot 63 vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 5.5 | Sports | Over | $23 | 9.0¢ |
| Walsall FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 7.5 | Sports | Over | $2 | 11.0¢ |
- No$216 @ 17.0¢
- No$200 @ 58.6¢
- No$198 @ 67.0¢
- No$134 @ 32.5¢
- No$118 @ 79.6¢
- No$83 @ 37.1¢
- Over$23 @ 9.0¢
- Over$2 @ 11.0¢