← Smart money
0x312d…6814
SharpEdge
+7.7pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
59% @ 50.9¢
Brier
0.161
Resolved
563
Avg size
$36
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (45/99) | +19% | 99 |
| Sports | 52% (31/60) | +10% | 60 |
- Other99 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (45/99)
- ROI
- +19%
- Sports60 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (31/60)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
48% hit · 76/159- Hawks$7 @ 49.0¢
- No$144 @ 76.8¢
- Over$2 @ 33.0¢
- No$30 @ 72.0¢
- No$113 @ 78.0¢
- Suns$7 @ 44.0¢
- Steve Erceg$55 @ 44.7¢
- JooSang Yoo$11 @ 12.6¢
- Michael Aswell$26 @ 46.1¢
- No$664 @ 84.6¢
- Under$21 @ 42.0¢
- Alex Pereira$3 @ 11.0¢
- No$219 @ 40.0¢
- Gaston Bolaños$69 @ 40.5¢
- Michael Aswell$91 @ 39.0¢
- No$81 @ 40.6¢
- Nilson Rojas$4 @ 4.8¢
- Karol Rosa$47 @ 43.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 41.7¢
- No$20 @ 55.1¢
- Afghanistan$50 @ 10.0¢
- Nikita Krylov$28 @ 18.3¢
- Sri Lanka$22 @ 25.0¢
- Fenerbahce$20 @ 65.0¢
- Gijs Brouwer$18 @ 48.0¢
- Trail Blazers$13 @ 43.0¢
- No$7 @ 46.0¢
- No$311 @ 78.0¢
- Italy$26 @ 71.0¢
- Magic$36 @ 39.0¢
- Pistons$67 @ 60.5¢
- Raptors$13 @ 41.0¢
- No$31 @ 52.7¢
- No$607 @ 63.0¢
- No$38 @ 47.0¢
- Giga Chikadze$0 @ 3.0¢
- No$53 @ 56.8¢
- Over$4 @ 32.0¢
- Karachi Kings$52 @ 38.0¢
- No$7 @ 31.7¢
- Under$38 @ 41.0¢
- No$19 @ 69.0¢
- No$66 @ 86.0¢
- Mona Barthel$21 @ 36.0¢
- No$54 @ 54.0¢
- Elisha Ellison$1 @ 2.1¢
- King Green$51 @ 50.0¢
- Terrance McKinney$7 @ 43.0¢
- Sri Lanka$6 @ 63.0¢
- No$792 @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Business | No | $216 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | No | $198 | 67.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Business | No | $68 | 34.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $25 | 59.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $23 | 75.0¢ |
| Taurages Taurage vs. BC Jonava | — | BC Jonava | $15 | 37.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $13 | 29.8¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 71.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $8 | 25.3¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $7 | 24.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $4 | 31.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 10.0¢ |
- No$216 @ 17.0¢
- No$198 @ 67.0¢
- No$68 @ 34.7¢
- No$25 @ 59.0¢
- No$23 @ 75.0¢
- BC Jonava$15 @ 37.0¢
- No$13 @ 29.8¢
- No$10 @ 71.0¢
- No$8 @ 25.3¢
- No$7 @ 24.7¢
- No$4 @ 31.0¢
- No$1 @ 10.0¢