0x3106…d672

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x31060e9b2c0703d6009154e38092d475b00cd672
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.3pp

ROI

+45%

Win rate

39% @ 36.1¢

Brier

0.124

Resolved

1548

Avg size

$60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (84/219)	+47%	219
Politics	68% (40/59)	+40%	59
Sports	29% (8/28)	-41%	28
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other219 bets
Hit rate
38% (84/219)
ROI
+47%
Politics59 bets
Hit rate
68% (40/59)
ROI
+40%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
29% (8/28)
ROI
-41%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Track record

43% hit · 133/307

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	77.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	69.0¢	Lost
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	$7	13.1¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$5	93.0¢	Lost
Will Procter & Gamble say "Inflation" during earnings call?	Yes	$60	90.0¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$7	24.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	$5	51.5¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	No	$68	91.0¢	Lost
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	$31	14.5¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$55	25.3¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	$9	64.0¢	Won
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$32	10.0¢	Won
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	$49	19.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	$30	22.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Won
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$20	55.0¢	Won
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$200	42.8¢	Won
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$59	56.9¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$7.7k	83.5¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$453	33.7¢	Won
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	$17	9.7¢	Lost
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	$272	78.2¢	Won
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	$17	9.8¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$80	64.0¢	Won
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	$20	91.6¢	Won
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$85	28.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	$6	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	$27	89.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$98	81.0¢	Won
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	$985	78.6¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$587	61.8¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	$91	91.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	Yes	$30	82.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$100	42.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	$10	4.9¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$55	92.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$770	54.6¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$20	39.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$7	3.7¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?	Yes	$380	94.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat?	Yes	$20	95.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	Yes	$59	90.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$31	78.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$100	86.0¢	Won
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 9% and 12%?	Yes	$6	11.8¢	Won

Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$31 @ 77.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 69.0¢
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.1¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Will Procter & Gamble say "Inflation" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$60 @ 90.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETLost
Up$5 @ 51.5¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Lost
No$68 @ 91.0¢
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Won
Yes$31 @ 14.5¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$55 @ 25.3¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Won
Yes$9 @ 64.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 10.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Lost
No$49 @ 19.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Lost
Yes$30 @ 22.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Won
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$200 @ 42.8¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Won
Yes$59 @ 56.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$7.7k @ 83.5¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$453 @ 33.7¢
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Lost
Yes$17 @ 9.7¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Won
Yes$272 @ 78.2¢
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Lost
Yes$17 @ 9.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$80 @ 64.0¢
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Won
No$20 @ 91.6¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$85 @ 28.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 14.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
No$27 @ 89.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$98 @ 81.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?Won
Yes$985 @ 78.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$587 @ 61.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
No$91 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?Won
Yes$30 @ 82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 4.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$55 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$770 @ 54.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Won
Yes$380 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat?Won
Yes$20 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Won
Yes$59 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$31 @ 78.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 9% and 12%?Won
Yes$6 @ 11.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10.1k	91.2¢
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	—	Yes	$1.9k	14.1¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	66.7¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	—	Yes	$1.2k	10.6¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$897	47.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	—	Yes	$444	7.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	Politics	Yes	$414	69.0¢
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	—	Yes	$343	6.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	—	No	$297	69.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2028 elections?	Politics	Yes	$290	87.6¢
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	—	No	$254	17.9¢
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?	Politics	No	$238	64.1¢
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Politics	Yes	$167	81.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	—	Yes	$164	29.4¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$139	1.1¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Politics	Yes	$134	73.2¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$100	68.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	—	Yes	$95	17.1¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$70	70.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	—	No	$68	91.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?	—	Yes	$66	1.7¢
Will Procter & Gamble say "Inflation" during earnings call?	—	Yes	$60	90.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	France	$50	52.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	Politics	Yes	$45	3.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?	Politics	No	$43	89.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$40	11.4¢
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?	—	Yes	$38	2.9¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$37	10.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	—	Yes	$33	33.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	—	Yes	$33	6.3¢

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10.1k @ 91.2¢
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?—
Yes$1.9k @ 14.1¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 66.7¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?—
Yes$1.2k @ 10.6¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$897 @ 47.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?—
Yes$444 @ 7.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Politics
Yes$414 @ 69.0¢
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?—
Yes$343 @ 6.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?—
No$297 @ 69.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2028 elections?Politics
Yes$290 @ 87.6¢
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?—
No$254 @ 17.9¢
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Politics
No$238 @ 64.1¢
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics
Yes$167 @ 81.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?—
Yes$164 @ 29.4¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$139 @ 1.1¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
Yes$134 @ 73.2¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$100 @ 68.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?—
Yes$95 @ 17.1¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?—
No$68 @ 91.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?—
Yes$66 @ 1.7¢
Will Procter & Gamble say "Inflation" during earnings call?—
Yes$60 @ 90.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
France$50 @ 52.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?Politics
Yes$45 @ 3.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%?Politics
No$43 @ 89.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$40 @ 11.4¢
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?—
Yes$38 @ 2.9¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$37 @ 10.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?—
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?—
Yes$33 @ 6.3¢