0x3106…d672

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Sports25 bets

  Hit rate

  28% (7/25)

  ROI

  -39%

• Other17 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (12/17)

  ROI

  -3%

• Politics16 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (10/16)

  ROI

  +47%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +30%

• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 13.3¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 8.6¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$375 @ 11.4¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 17.2¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 19.1¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$352 @ 10.0¢
• Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWon
  England$75 @ 53.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$100 @ 94.8¢
• Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?Won
  Yes$5 @ 92.0¢
• Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?Won
  Yes$152 @ 89.3¢
• Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
  Yes$6 @ 99.9¢
• Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$8 @ 15.2¢
• Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$139 @ 1.1¢
• Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Won
  Yes$300 @ 92.0¢
• Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Lost
  No$4 @ 4.0¢
• Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
  Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
• Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
• Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 13.0¢
• Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
• Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$15 @ 61.0¢
• Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 8.0¢
• Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 3.4¢
• Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$140 @ 24.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 85.0¢
• Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
• Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 47.9¢
• Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Won
  Yes$140 @ 99.1¢
• Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
• Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
  Yes$5 @ 67.0¢
• Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
• Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Won
  No$10 @ 82.2¢
• Will Graham Platner win between 75% and 80% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 28.7¢
• World Cup: Scoreless Team?Won
  Yes$20 @ 86.0¢
• Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Lost
  No$100 @ 89.0¢
• Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Won
  Yes$18 @ 55.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$154 @ 77.0¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
  Yes$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$179 @ 89.0¢
• Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
  No$254 @ 78.2¢
• Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Won
  Yes$49 @ 85.3¢
• Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 57.9¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
• Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Won
  Yes$53 @ 63.6¢
• Will Graham Platner win between 85% and 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Won
  No$33 @ 60.0¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Won
  Yes$210 @ 69.8¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 88.9¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
  Yes$598 @ 32.1¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$8.2k @ 83.4¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$5.1k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$5.1k @ 50.0¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
  No$802 @ 96.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Politics
  Yes$590 @ 94.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat?Politics
  Yes$326 @ 93.9¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$200 @ 42.8¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$191 @ 44.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$175 @ 60.9¢
• Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics
  Yes$158 @ 78.2¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$98 @ 81.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$97 @ 41.8¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy
  No$94 @ 89.1¢
• Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$55 @ 25.3¢
• Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Politics
  No$50 @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$31 @ 78.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 89.8¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$16 @ 56.3¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 9.2¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 87.0¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$10 @ 17.0¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 6.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$6 @ 14.0¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 3.8¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy
  Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 17.0¢