← Smart money
0x30df…e573
SharpEdge
+8.4pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
43% @ 34.7¢
Brier
0.173
Resolved
949
Avg size
$13
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (24/52) | +72% | 52 |
| Politics | 30% (7/23) | -5% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 13% (1/8) | -46% | 8 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | -31% | 3 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | -33% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +250% | 1 |
- Other52 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (24/52)
- ROI
- +72%
- Politics23 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (7/23)
- ROI
- -5%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -46%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -31%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -33%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +250%
Track record
38% hit · 35/91- No$70 @ 13.6¢
- No$72 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
- No$32 @ 10.7¢
- No$244 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$81 @ 60.0¢
- Stars$77 @ 77.0¢
- No$20 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 31.3¢
- Thunder$19 @ 30.0¢
- Timberwolves$5 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 39.0¢
- Under$2 @ 24.0¢
- Kings$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$810 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$52 @ 52.4¢
- Under$58 @ 87.0¢
- No$46 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$51 @ 9.7¢
- Commanders$2 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 20.1¢
- Arkansas Razorbacks$12 @ 30.0¢
- No$632 @ 27.8¢
- No$254 @ 31.8¢
- No$398 @ 15.3¢
- No$86 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
- No$75 @ 29.8¢
- Yes$70 @ 15.3¢
- No$66 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$239 @ 72.0¢
- No$95 @ 43.3¢
- Yes$203 @ 66.9¢
- Yes$79 @ 26.3¢
- No$50 @ 25.0¢
- Rams vs. FalconsLostRams$80 @ 50.0¢
- Under$0 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 48.4¢
- No$631 @ 28.6¢
- No$637 @ 30.3¢
- Yes$355 @ 53.7¢
- Capitals$4 @ 48.0¢
- No$74 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$289 @ 59.4¢
- No$46 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$539 @ 35.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $56 | 28.0¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 18.0¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $11 | 11.0¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $11 | 39.0¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $7 | 49.2¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 47.8¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 11.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 16.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 14.5¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 23.0¢ |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 16.0¢ |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 11.0¢ |
- Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- No$11 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- No$7 @ 49.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 47.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$0 @ 11.0¢