0x30a7…02fa

Specialization by sphere

• Other20 bets

  Hit rate

  30% (6/20)

  ROI

  +25%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -47%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/3)

  ROI

  -100%

• Politics3 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/3)

  ROI

  -100%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 4.4¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.1k @ 68.8¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$4.0k @ 33.2¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$1.6k @ 82.5¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 62.7¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Lost
  No$139 @ 6.9¢
• Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
  Yes$251 @ 19.8¢
• Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
• US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$220 @ 22.0¢
• Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
  Yes$841 @ 0.6¢
• Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
  Yes$131 @ 13.0¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
  No$971 @ 54.2¢
• Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?Lost
  Yes$250 @ 10.5¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 30.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$570 @ 57.0¢
• Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Lost
  Yes$528 @ 3.2¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
  No$769 @ 75.0¢
• Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
  No$2.3k @ 56.8¢
• Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 54.3¢
• US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Lost
  Yes$256 @ 10.2¢
• Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 38.4¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$263 @ 33.7¢
• Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Won
  No$116 @ 72.6¢
• Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 16.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
  No$371 @ 3.5¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Lost
  Yes$259 @ 22.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 12.0¢
• Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 2.5¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
  No$188 @ 17.1¢
• US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$184 @ 8.0¢

Current positions

• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
  No$2.0k @ 91.4¢
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$1.9k @ 92.4¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$1.8k @ 91.1¢
• Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Science
  No$1.5k @ 86.5¢
• New pandemic in 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
• Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Economy
  No$684 @ 84.8¢
• AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$260 @ 93.0¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Tech
  Yes$251 @ 39.5¢
• Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
  Yes$211 @ 4.6¢
• New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$105 @ 77.2¢
• Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
  Yes$18 @ 3.0¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
  Yes$15 @ 22.0¢
• Trump out as President by June 30?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢