← Smart money
0x2fad…f5c0
ProfitableEdge
+34.0pp
ROI
+44%
Win rate
76% @ 42.4¢
Brier
0.239
Resolved
658
Avg size
$187
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 49% (23/47) | +42% | 47 |
| Politics | 27% (4/15) | -30% | 15 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +422% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (23/47)
- ROI
- +42%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (4/15)
- ROI
- -30%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +422%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 28/65- Yes$2.8k @ 37.0¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 47.2¢
- Yes$364 @ 11.0¢
- No$615 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$508 @ 39.5¢
- No$50 @ 15.0¢
- No$5.4k @ 36.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 29.5¢
- No$3.9k @ 32.2¢
- Yes$404 @ 14.9¢
- No$1.0k @ 43.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 54.2¢
- Yes$232 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 48.7¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$297 @ 35.9¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 35.9¢
- No$258 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$103 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$376 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$498 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$518 @ 49.0¢
- No$930 @ 43.7¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 5.4¢
- No$36.8k @ 34.7¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 51.4¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 55.1¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 36.7¢
- No$8.6k @ 35.6¢
- Yes$77 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$154 @ 14.0¢
- No$11.1k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$155 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$389 @ 15.5¢
- No$285 @ 19.0¢
- No$838 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 83.5¢
- No$224 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$185 @ 2.9¢
- No$120 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$949 @ 43.6¢
- Yes$571 @ 25.1¢
- Yes$195 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 18.9¢
- No$949 @ 48.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $475 | 22.9¢ |
- No$475 @ 22.9¢