← Smart money
0x2f63…6643
SharpEdge
+6.4pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
60% @ 54.1¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
1534
Avg size
$183
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 77% (361/467) | +22% | 467 |
| Politics | 59% (30/51) | +42% | 51 |
| Sports | 100% (9/9) | +42% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (6/9) | +7% | 9 |
| Tech | 75% (6/8) | +8% | 8 |
| Economy | 100% (4/4) | +39% | 4 |
| Business | 100% (2/2) | +19% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +42% | 1 |
- Other467 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (361/467)
- ROI
- +22%
- Politics51 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (30/51)
- ROI
- +42%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (9/9)
- ROI
- +42%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +7%
- Tech8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +8%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +39%
- Business2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +19%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +42%
Track record
76% hit · 419/551- No$295 @ 84.3¢
- No$8 @ 78.0¢
- No$736 @ 89.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 18.0¢
- No$150 @ 24.9¢
- Yes$288 @ 72.9¢
- No$22 @ 22.0¢
- No$20 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$833 @ 42.9¢
- No$388 @ 35.0¢
- No$269 @ 89.8¢
- Yes$167 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$130 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$775 @ 82.4¢
- Yes$685 @ 84.7¢
- No$73 @ 73.0¢
- No$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 89.3¢
- No$161 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$629 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 39.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 24.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 76.2¢
- No$184 @ 89.9¢
- No$54 @ 83.4¢
- No$165 @ 82.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 48.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$372 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$22 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$593 @ 25.8¢
- No$459 @ 81.4¢
- Yes$115 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$88 @ 83.1¢
- No$155 @ 77.7¢
- Yes$171 @ 85.6¢
- No$980 @ 87.1¢
- Yes$692 @ 28.8¢
- No$2 @ 1.7¢
- No$388 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$116 @ 75.0¢
- No$106 @ 52.9¢
- No$115 @ 76.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $633 | 91.2¢ |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $498 | 85.1¢ |
| US x China tariff agreement by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $227 | 84.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $158 | 7.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $130 | 6.5¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $127 | 5.5¢ |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $95 | 91.5¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 17.0¢ |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $70 | 69.3¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $34 | 68.0¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $26 | 52.0¢ |
- Yes$633 @ 91.2¢
- Yes$498 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$227 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$127 @ 5.5¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$95 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$85 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 69.3¢
- No$34 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 52.0¢