0x2d75…4e46

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2d7544d2f363676c8fcb43c97f4c136ae4ed4e46
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

91% @ 81.0¢

Brier

0.088

Resolved

279

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	78% (38/49)	+5%	49
Crypto	93% (38/41)	+17%	41
Politics	84% (27/32)	+12%	32
Business	75% (18/24)	-7%	24
Geopolitics	75% (6/8)	+16%	8
Sports	80% (4/5)	-7%	5
Tech	100% (4/4)	+27%	4
Economy	50% (1/2)	-40%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+78%	1

Other49 bets
Hit rate
78% (38/49)
ROI
+5%
Crypto41 bets
Hit rate
93% (38/41)
ROI
+17%
Politics32 bets
Hit rate
84% (27/32)
ROI
+12%
Business24 bets
Hit rate
75% (18/24)
ROI
-7%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+16%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
-7%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+27%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-40%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+78%

Track record

83% hit · 137/166

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	$16	95.5¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	No	$16	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	$16	62.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	$24	85.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	$34	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	No	$12	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	$177	84.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	$175	86.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	$55	67.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	$40	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$16	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	$186	86.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	$56	81.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	$53	85.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	$16	77.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	$46	87.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$16	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$24	87.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	$35	90.5¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?	No	$16	90.1¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	No	$6	76.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	$72	72.2¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	No	$16	73.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	$33	86.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	$79	84.4¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	$24	68.3¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?	No	$38	87.6¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	$29	92.4¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	$33	89.3¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	$48	88.3¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	$24	85.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	$34	85.0¢	Lost
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	$32	85.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$16	87.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	$5	87.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	$7	88.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$551	94.4¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	$5	87.0¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$16	79.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	$81	85.3¢	Won
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	$38	83.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	No	$57	84.6¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	$54	86.0¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?	No	$16	84.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$304	88.5¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$149	85.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	$8	61.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$56	77.3¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?Won
No$16 @ 95.5¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Won
No$16 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Won
No$16 @ 62.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 85.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Won
No$34 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Won
No$12 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Won
No$177 @ 84.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Won
No$175 @ 86.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Won
No$55 @ 67.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Won
No$40 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Won
No$186 @ 86.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Won
No$56 @ 81.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Won
No$53 @ 85.6¢
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Lost
No$16 @ 77.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Lost
Yes$46 @ 87.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$16 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Lost
No$24 @ 87.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?Won
No$35 @ 90.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?Won
No$16 @ 90.1¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?Won
No$6 @ 76.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?Won
No$72 @ 72.2¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?Won
No$16 @ 73.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?Won
No$33 @ 86.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?Won
No$79 @ 84.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?Won
No$24 @ 68.3¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?Won
No$38 @ 87.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?Won
No$29 @ 92.4¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?Won
No$33 @ 89.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Lost
No$48 @ 88.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?Lost
No$24 @ 85.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?Lost
No$34 @ 85.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Won
No$32 @ 85.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$16 @ 87.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?Lost
No$5 @ 87.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?Won
Yes$7 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$551 @ 94.4¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?Lost
No$5 @ 87.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$16 @ 79.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Won
No$81 @ 85.3¢
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$38 @ 83.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?Lost
No$57 @ 84.6¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?Lost
No$54 @ 86.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?Lost
No$16 @ 84.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$304 @ 88.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$149 @ 85.1¢
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Lost
No$8 @ 61.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$56 @ 77.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
0xb7f81a40…	—	Yes	$41	86.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Geopolitics	Yes	$40	95.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?	Crypto	No	$40	86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	Crypto	No	$40	83.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$25	62.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$24	92.0¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$16	83.8¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$16	89.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$16	74.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	No	$16	56.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Business	No	$16	86.9¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Tech	No	$16	84.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in November?	Other	No	$16	78.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$16	48.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$10	25.0¢

0xb7f81a40…—
Yes$41 @ 86.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Geopolitics
Yes$40 @ 95.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?Crypto
No$40 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?Crypto
No$40 @ 83.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$25 @ 62.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$24 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 83.8¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 74.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
No$16 @ 56.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?Business
No$16 @ 86.9¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?Tech
No$16 @ 84.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in November?Other
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 48.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢