0x2cc7…2385

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2cc798c8eef1fae6266c5cda2bf2b607c5372385
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.9pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

4% @ 10.4¢

Brier

0.030

Resolved

156

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	17% (4/23)	+92%	23
Other	44% (8/18)	+29%	18
Sports	33% (3/9)	-59%	9
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-8%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics23 bets
Hit rate
17% (4/23)
ROI
+92%
Other18 bets
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
ROI
+29%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
-59%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-8%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 17/57

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$69	6.7¢	Lost
Will Diego Moreira be in Belgium's Starting 11?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$40	10.1¢	Lost
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	$9	85.6¢	Won
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$39	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$45	5.5¢	Lost
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?	Yes	$7	8.0¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	$34	10.1¢	Lost
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Laurence Louie win Top Chef Season 23?	No	$9	85.4¢	Won
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$42	2.1¢	Lost
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?	Yes	$78	4.6¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$11	54.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$395	15.9¢	Won
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	$99	10.7¢	Lost
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$7	1.4¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$115	1.1¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	$38	16.2¢	Lost
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$240	1.2¢	Lost
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11?	Yes	$7	2.2¢	Lost
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	$93	5.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	Yes	$63	10.6¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	Yes	$55	10.0¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner win between 75% and 80% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	Yes	$76	5.7¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	$12	3.5¢	Lost
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$18	17.9¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	$102	9.8¢	Lost
Will Marc Pubill be in Spain's Starting 11?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$2	41.9¢	Won
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Yes	$0	11.0¢	Lost
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$38	1.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$6	3.9¢	Lost
Will Fnatic win LEC 2026 Spring?	No	$1	87.0¢	Won
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$21	87.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$102	51.0¢	Won
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$178	74.0¢	Won
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$2	15.6¢	Lost

Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$69 @ 6.7¢
Will Diego Moreira be in Belgium's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$40 @ 10.1¢
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Won
No$9 @ 85.6¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Lost
Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$45 @ 5.5¢
Will Gonçalo Guedes be in Portugal's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.0¢
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$34 @ 10.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Laurence Louie win Top Chef Season 23?Won
No$9 @ 85.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Lost
Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Lost
Yes$78 @ 4.6¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$395 @ 15.9¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Lost
Yes$99 @ 10.7¢
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$115 @ 1.1¢
Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$38 @ 16.2¢
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Lost
Yes$240 @ 1.2¢
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.2¢
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Lost
No$93 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$63 @ 10.6¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Lost
Yes$55 @ 10.0¢
Will Graham Platner win between 75% and 80% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Lost
Yes$76 @ 5.7¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Lost
Yes$12 @ 3.5¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$18 @ 17.9¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Lost
Yes$102 @ 9.8¢
Will Marc Pubill be in Spain's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Won
Yes$2 @ 41.9¢
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$0 @ 11.0¢
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$38 @ 1.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Lost
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Haiti be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.9¢
Will Fnatic win LEC 2026 Spring?Won
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$21 @ 87.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$16 @ 82.0¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Lost
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$178 @ 74.0¢
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Politics	Yes	$515	5.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$483	6.9¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Economy	Yes	$377	5.1¢
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$244	5.9¢
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$150	13.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$120	6.0¢
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Politics	No	$118	5.6¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$95	11.8¢
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?	Politics	Yes	$85	7.4¢
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?	Politics	Yes	$84	5.2¢
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Politics	No	$76	10.7¢
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$68	2.3¢
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Politics	Yes	$64	9.6¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	—	Yes	$63	10.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$62	4.7¢
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	—	No	$56	5.8¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$42	2.4¢
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$38	1.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$37	3.4¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$36	11.9¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$35	7.0¢
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	Politics	Yes	$32	10.0¢
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?	Business	No	$26	91.0¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Politics	No	$26	13.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Politics	No	$25	99.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$22	74.0¢
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?	Politics	No	$20	94.0¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	Culture	No	$20	99.0¢
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	No	$20	98.0¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Culture	No	$19	97.1¢

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?Politics
Yes$515 @ 5.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$483 @ 6.9¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy
Yes$377 @ 5.1¢
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
Yes$244 @ 5.9¢
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
Yes$150 @ 13.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?Politics
No$118 @ 5.6¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$95 @ 11.8¢
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Politics
Yes$85 @ 7.4¢
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?Politics
Yes$84 @ 5.2¢
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Politics
No$76 @ 10.7¢
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$68 @ 2.3¢
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Politics
Yes$64 @ 9.6¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?—
Yes$63 @ 10.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
Yes$62 @ 4.7¢
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?—
No$56 @ 5.8¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Politics
No$42 @ 2.4¢
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto
Yes$38 @ 1.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$37 @ 3.4¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$36 @ 11.9¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Politics
Yes$32 @ 10.0¢
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Business
No$26 @ 91.0¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Politics
No$26 @ 13.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics
No$25 @ 99.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$22 @ 74.0¢
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?Politics
No$20 @ 94.0¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? Culture
No$20 @ 99.0¢
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
No$20 @ 98.0¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Culture
No$19 @ 97.1¢