0x246b…1196

Specialization by sphere

• Other121 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (84/121)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (11/13)

  ROI

  +85%

• Geopolitics7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  +14%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +20%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +122%

• LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerWon
  KT Rolster$154 @ 38.5¢
• GPT ads by December 31?Won
  No$44 @ 87.0¢
• Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 24.9¢
• UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
  Makhachev$111 @ 74.0¢
• Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
  No$2.2k @ 73.1¢
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
  No$384 @ 64.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$145 @ 88.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
  No$33 @ 33.3¢
• LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerLost
  T1$196 @ 65.4¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$184 @ 71.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$196 @ 71.0¢
• Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
• Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
  Yes$594 @ 32.6¢
• Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
  Seahawks$100 @ 68.0¢
• Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
• Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Won
  Yes$770 @ 85.2¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Won
  No$178 @ 89.1¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Lost
  Gen.G$254 @ 84.7¢
• James Comey arrested by May 15?Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 75.4¢
• LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Won
  T1$338 @ 45.7¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$6.3k @ 78.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$17.4k @ 52.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$801 @ 50.4¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.8k @ 45.1¢
• Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?Won
  No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$1.6k @ 82.4¢
• Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 57.4¢
• Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Lost
  No$67 @ 81.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Lost
  Yes$526 @ 52.6¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Won
  No$176 @ 88.1¢
• Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
  No$163 @ 81.7¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Lost
  No$869 @ 74.0¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
  Yes$7.0k @ 62.6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
• U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Won
  Yes$256 @ 53.9¢
• James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
  No$740 @ 69.0¢
• James Comey arrested by April 29?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 74.2¢
• Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 85.6¢
• LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
  T1$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Won
  No$515 @ 79.9¢
• Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Won
  No$1.3k @ 82.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$5.7k @ 70.4¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  Yes$513 @ 61.0¢
• Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$100 @ 30.0¢
• Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$160 @ 77.0¢
• 'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?Won
  No change$83 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
  No$3.4k @ 82.0¢
• Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?Won
  No$210 @ 83.7¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$740 @ 74.0¢