0x242b…f6c7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x242b235be847733202e265dc83f0295c9450f6c7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.8pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

69% @ 58.2¢

Brier

0.124

Resolved

100

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	45% (9/20)	+13%	20
Other	63% (5/8)	+50%	8
Geopolitics	75% (3/4)	+74%	4

Politics20 bets
Hit rate
45% (9/20)
ROI
+13%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+50%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+74%

Track record

53% hit · 17/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$25	28.1¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$260	86.5¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$70	83.1¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$8	20.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$6	39.4¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$51	73.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$93	53.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$3	42.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$40	86.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	$3	83.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$74	51.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$7	82.1¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$2	50.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$54	81.9¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$19	72.9¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$100	84.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$4	19.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	$20	7.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$10	82.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$230	80.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$8	55.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$75	51.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	52.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$126	66.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	$5	3.3¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$13	15.8¢	Lost

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$25 @ 28.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$260 @ 86.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$70 @ 83.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 39.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$51 @ 73.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$93 @ 53.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$3 @ 42.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 86.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Won
No$3 @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$74 @ 51.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$7 @ 82.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$2 @ 50.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$54 @ 81.9¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$19 @ 72.9¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$100 @ 84.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 19.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
No$230 @ 80.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$8 @ 55.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$75 @ 51.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 52.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$126 @ 66.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$13 @ 15.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$140	87.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$130	82.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Politics	No	$25	95.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$140 @ 87.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
No$130 @ 82.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?Politics
No$25 @ 95.0¢