← Smart money
0x239b…21c8
ProfitableEdge
+13.7pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
62% @ 48.4¢
Brier
0.241
Resolved
66
Avg size
$45
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 25% (3/12) | -3% | 12 |
| Politics | 71% (5/7) | +6% | 7 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | -9% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +148% | 1 |
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (3/12)
- ROI
- -3%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -9%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +148%
Track record
45% hit · 10/22- Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
- No$726 @ 86.3¢
- No$214 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 18.9¢
- No$451 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$616 @ 76.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$124 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$136 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 79.0¢
- No$21 @ 73.6¢
- Yes$146 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$58 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 40.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$71 @ 52.6¢
- Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$113 @ 41.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? | Sports | Yes | $576 | 57.1¢ |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Geopolitics | Yes | $200 | 63.1¢ |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $50 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $50 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? | Sports | No | $20 | 78.0¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$576 @ 57.1¢
- Yes$200 @ 63.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
- No$20 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢