← Smart money
0x2396…57dc
SharpEdge
+12.1pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
58% @ 45.6¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
333
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 62% (16/26) | +24% | 26 |
| Politics | 50% (12/24) | -11% | 24 |
| Crypto | 60% (3/5) | +49% | 5 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -0% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other26 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (16/26)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (12/24)
- ROI
- -11%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +49%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -0%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
55% hit · 32/58- No$9 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$243 @ 20.1¢
- No$16 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 21.2¢
- No$10 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 22.2¢
- No$45 @ 80.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$170 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 9.6¢
- No$702 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$143 @ 29.0¢
- No$26 @ 35.0¢
- No$33 @ 71.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 20.5¢
- No$77 @ 40.1¢
- Yes$70 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 35.9¢
- Yes$86 @ 61.7¢
- No$4 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 7.9¢
- No$86 @ 89.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 57.0¢
- No$43 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 28.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
- No$15 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$89 @ 47.9¢
- No$8 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.5¢
- No$131 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$47 @ 24.5¢
- No$105 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 29.0¢
- No$17 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 52.0¢
- No$59 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 31.0¢
- No$28 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$143 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 19.0¢
- No$20 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 44.0¢
- No$55 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 64.0¢
- No$50 @ 71.2¢
- No$12 @ 24.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $409 | 77.6¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $194 | 91.5¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $122 | 63.9¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $120 | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $120 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $67 | 34.3¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | — | No | $30 | 38.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $29 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $24 | 83.0¢ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $12 | 79.0¢ |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | — | No | $9 | 45.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 45.0¢ |
- No$409 @ 77.6¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$194 @ 91.5¢
- No$122 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$120 @ 50.0¢
- No$120 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 34.3¢
- No$30 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 25.0¢
- No$24 @ 83.0¢
- No$12 @ 79.0¢
- No$9 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 45.0¢