0x2383…fef0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2383da2175a9a093a5981a2fa6407730b735fef0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.5pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

58% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

165

Avg size

$66

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (11/21)	+18%	21
Science	71% (5/7)	+20%	7
Crypto	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+69%	4
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other21 bets
Hit rate
52% (11/21)
ROI
+18%
Science7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+20%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+69%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Track record

53% hit · 21/40

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	No	$34	69.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	$21	9.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$45	14.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$94	46.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?	Yes	$102	70.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026?	No	$221	24.6¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?	No	$175	35.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?	No	$528	66.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	$985	49.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 31?	No	$102	89.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?	No	$297	49.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	Yes	$208	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	$10	32.3¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	No	$90	18.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	$219	52.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?	No	$214	61.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$2.0k	74.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$179	70.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25?	No	$32	32.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$171	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?	No	$63	62.0¢	Won
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$28	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	No	$217	68.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$48	24.1¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$1.3k	59.4¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?	No	$17	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$549	39.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	$126	25.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?	No	$710	71.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?	No	$100	83.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.30 in September?	No	$156	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?	Yes	$19	4.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	$19	12.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	No	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	$416	65.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 13?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	Yes	$832	78.9¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.20 in August?	No	$350	35.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?Won
No$34 @ 69.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?Lost
No$21 @ 9.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$45 @ 14.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$94 @ 46.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?Lost
Yes$102 @ 70.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$221 @ 24.6¢
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?Won
No$175 @ 35.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Won
No$528 @ 66.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Won
No$985 @ 49.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 31?Won
No$102 @ 89.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?Lost
No$297 @ 49.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Won
Yes$208 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?Won
Yes$10 @ 32.3¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$90 @ 18.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$219 @ 52.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Lost
No$214 @ 61.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$2.0k @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$179 @ 70.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25?Lost
No$32 @ 32.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$171 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?Won
Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?Won
No$63 @ 62.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?Won
No$217 @ 68.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$48 @ 24.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 59.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?Lost
No$17 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Won
Yes$549 @ 39.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$126 @ 25.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?Lost
No$710 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?Won
No$100 @ 83.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.30 in September?Won
No$156 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$19 @ 4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$19 @ 12.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Lost
No$50 @ 5.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Won
No$416 @ 65.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 13?Won
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Won
Yes$832 @ 78.9¢
Will XRP reach $3.20 in August?Lost
No$350 @ 35.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$114	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 30?	Science	No	$65	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?	Science	No	$62	61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	Science	No	$34	69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30?	Science	No	$4	74.0¢

Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Other
No$114 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 30?Science
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?Science
No$62 @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?Science
No$34 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30?Science
No$4 @ 74.0¢