0x22e4…ef1c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+25.9pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

100% @ 74.1¢

Brier

0.071

Resolved

335

Avg size

$832

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (7/13)	+20%	13
Tech	100% (4/4)	+50%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Other13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
+20%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+50%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Track record

70% hit · 14/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$519	84.6¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$47.9k	74.1¢	Won
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$37.9k	79.4¢	Won
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?	No	$84	66.4¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$1.6k	55.0¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$7.5k	82.4¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$710	71.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?	No	$18	8.0¢	Lost
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$916	75.4¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1.7k	76.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$847	72.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?	No	$52	8.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$182	75.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$83.3k	98.9¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	78.3¢	Won

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Won
Yes$519 @ 84.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$47.9k @ 74.1¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
No$37.9k @ 79.4¢
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?Won
No$84 @ 66.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
No$1.6k @ 55.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$7.5k @ 82.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
No$710 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 8.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$916 @ 75.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 76.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$847 @ 72.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?Lost
No$52 @ 8.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$182 @ 75.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$83.3k @ 98.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 78.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$198.4k	80.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Politics	No	$9.1k	91.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Politics	No	$9.1k	82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$6.4k	23.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$4.6k	67.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$2.3k	23.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2.0k	10.9¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	24.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$977	30.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Tech	No	$924	92.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	Yes	$836	53.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$413	75.8¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$393	26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$362	51.0¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$287	24.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$162	8.1¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$112	5.4¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$102	2.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$198.4k @ 80.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
No$9.1k @ 91.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
No$9.1k @ 82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$6.4k @ 23.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$4.6k @ 67.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
No$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$2.0k @ 10.9¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 24.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$977 @ 30.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech
No$924 @ 92.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
Yes$836 @ 53.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$413 @ 75.8¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech
Yes$393 @ 26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Tech
Yes$362 @ 51.0¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech
Yes$287 @ 24.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$162 @ 8.1¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$112 @ 5.4¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢