← Smart money
0x205b…8edf
SharpEdge
+23.9pp
ROI
+41%
Win rate
67% @ 43.2¢
Brier
0.197
Resolved
67
Avg size
$227
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 70% (7/10) | +1% | 10 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +6% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +217% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +138% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +217%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +138%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
71% hit · 12/17- No$185 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 14.3¢
- Yes$536 @ 22.9¢
- No$251 @ 72.7¢
- No$2.4k @ 42.7¢
- No$391 @ 35.0¢
- No$35 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$915 @ 36.1¢
- No$69 @ 83.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 44.6¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 41.3¢
- Yes$65 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 55.0¢
- No$905 @ 78.3¢
- Yes$666 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 5.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Geopolitics | Yes | $4.0k | 89.8¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.4k | 13.1¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $386 | 41.6¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $316 | 83.1¢ |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Politics | No | $288 | 22.9¢ |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $180 | 8.1¢ |
| Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $86 | 34.0¢ |
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$4.0k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 13.1¢
- Yes$386 @ 41.6¢
- No$316 @ 83.1¢
- No$288 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$180 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$86 @ 34.0¢