← Smart money
0x205b…8edf
ProfitableEdge
+23.1pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
63% @ 39.4¢
Brier
0.200
Resolved
64
Avg size
$272
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7% (1/14) | -91% | 14 |
| Politics | 70% (7/10) | +1% | 10 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +217% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +138% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports14 bets
- Hit rate
- 7% (1/14)
- ROI
- -91%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +1%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +217%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +138%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
41% hit · 12/29- No$185 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 14.3¢
- Yes$536 @ 22.9¢
- No$251 @ 72.7¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 1.4¢
- No$2.4k @ 42.7¢
- No$391 @ 35.0¢
- No$35 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$915 @ 36.1¢
- No$69 @ 83.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 44.6¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 41.3¢
- Yes$65 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 55.0¢
- No$905 @ 78.3¢
- Yes$666 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$826 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 0.5¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$137 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$943 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$725 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 76.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $1.6k | 63.9¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $386 | 41.6¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $316 | 83.1¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | — | Yes | $303 | 58.6¢ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $177 | 78.0¢ |
- No$1.6k @ 63.9¢
- Yes$386 @ 41.6¢
- No$316 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$303 @ 58.6¢
- No$177 @ 78.0¢