0x1eca…ab97

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1ecab39eab33283ac07d1b31c7d5748cb44fab97
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.8pp

ROI

+49%

Win rate

83% @ 70.0¢

Brier

0.151

Resolved

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	50% (2/4)	+135%	4
Politics	100% (3/3)	+30%	3
Other	33% (1/3)	+10%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+135%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+30%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+10%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

64% hit · 7/11

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$4	8.7¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$49	84.3¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$207	84.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$52	69.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$527	75.3¢	Won
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?	No	$14	59.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$259	80.8¢	Won
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$195	32.5¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$75	46.0¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$6	83.0¢	Won

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$4 @ 8.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$49 @ 84.3¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$207 @ 84.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$52 @ 69.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$527 @ 75.3¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?Lost
No$14 @ 59.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$259 @ 80.8¢
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$195 @ 32.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$75 @ 46.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$6 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$233	88.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$149	88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$100	39.8¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$233 @ 88.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$149 @ 88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$100 @ 39.8¢