0x1ea8…b821

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1ea824aa13c35960a46fce3a33497a39e8d3b821
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

23% @ 18.7¢

Brier

0.127

Resolved

2145

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	29% (84/290)	+26%	290
Other	31% (37/120)	+5%	120
Politics	20% (1/5)	-27%	5

Sports290 bets
Hit rate
29% (84/290)
ROI
+26%
Other120 bets
Hit rate
31% (37/120)
ROI
+5%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-27%

Track record

29% hit · 122/415

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$109	15.3¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$710	77.0¢	Lost
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?	No	$79	26.9¢	Won
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?	Yes	$33	15.1¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.2k	68.5¢	Won
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$100	13.7¢	Lost
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Under	$42	89.0¢	Won
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Won
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	3.0¢	Lost
EC Vitória vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5	Over	$7	2.9¢	Lost
Slovenia vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$83	61.0¢	Won
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	$189	72.0¢	Won
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Over	$585	66.0¢	Won
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	$1	11.0¢	Won
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$165	18.4¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$17	0.3¢	Lost
Kosovo vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$4	1.0¢	Lost
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5	Under	$67	87.0¢	Won
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?	No	$7	6.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Over	$45	1.9¢	Lost
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5	Under	$167	85.5¢	Won
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5	Under	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Under	$61	84.0¢	Won
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5	Over	$271	15.2¢	Lost
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Over	$825	68.5¢	Lost
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	$105	68.3¢	Won
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5	Under	$35	2.8¢	Lost
EC Vitória vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$20	1.0¢	Lost
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 6.5	Under	$296	80.0¢	Won
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-09-19?	No	$46	0.9¢	Lost
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-10-09?	No	$186	12.9¢	Won
San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 6.5	Over	$128	55.9¢	Won
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5	Under	$22	0.7¢	Lost
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	$157	11.7¢	Lost
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Under	$182	21.0¢	Lost
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$29	2.6¢	Lost
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	$27	4.6¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5	Under	$30	3.0¢	Lost
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5	Under	$41	4.8¢	Lost
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Under	$101	85.0¢	Won
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	$40	28.0¢	Won
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Rafael Dos Anjos	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30?	No	$83	29.0¢	Lost
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5	Under	$30	2.1¢	Lost

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$109 @ 15.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$710 @ 77.0¢
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?Won
No$79 @ 26.9¢
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?Lost
Yes$33 @ 15.1¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Won
Over$1.2k @ 68.5¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$100 @ 13.7¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Won
Under$42 @ 89.0¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?Won
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$3 @ 3.0¢
EC Vitória vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$7 @ 2.9¢
Slovenia vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Under$83 @ 61.0¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Won
Over$189 @ 72.0¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$585 @ 66.0¢
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-08?Won
No$1 @ 11.0¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$165 @ 18.4¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$17 @ 0.3¢
Kosovo vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$4 @ 1.0¢
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Won
Under$67 @ 87.0¢
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?Lost
No$7 @ 6.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$45 @ 1.9¢
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5Won
Under$167 @ 85.5¢
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$10 @ 1.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Won
Under$61 @ 84.0¢
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 2.0¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$271 @ 15.2¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$825 @ 68.5¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Won
Under$105 @ 68.3¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$35 @ 2.8¢
EC Vitória vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$20 @ 1.0¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 6.5Won
Under$296 @ 80.0¢
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$46 @ 0.9¢
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-10-09?Won
No$186 @ 12.9¢
San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 6.5Won
Over$128 @ 55.9¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$22 @ 0.7¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Wang Cong$157 @ 11.7¢
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$182 @ 21.0¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$3 @ 1.0¢
Netherlands vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$29 @ 2.6¢
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07?Lost
Yes$27 @ 4.6¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$30 @ 3.0¢
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$41 @ 4.8¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Won
Under$101 @ 85.0¢
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)Won
Alexander Hernandez$40 @ 28.0¢
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)Lost
Rafael Dos Anjos$3 @ 1.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30?Lost
No$83 @ 29.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$30 @ 2.1¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	33.8¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?	Sports	Yes	$749	71.4¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$596	55.7¢
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5	—	Under	$496	9.1¢
CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5	Sports	Under	$431	30.8¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$287	21.9¢
New York City FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$250	74.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$242	30.5¢
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Sports	Under	$224	63.3¢
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?	Sports	Yes	$210	29.3¢
United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5	Sports	Under	$200	75.0¢
CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$186	33.0¢
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$175	21.0¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$165	18.4¢
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?	Sports	Yes	$145	7.6¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06?	—	Yes	$137	14.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Sports	Rodolfo Bellato	$126	49.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	No	$122	55.0¢
Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$117	14.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$114	12.4¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$105	27.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$104	9.4¢
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)	Sports	Josiah Harrell	$100	40.0¢
CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5	Sports	Under	$100	1.0¢
Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Sports	Under	$100	81.0¢
CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Under	$100	59.0¢
Al Hilal SFC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$100	10.0¢
Atlanta United FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$100	85.9¢
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5	—	Under	$99	7.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sports	Raoni Barcelos	$99	75.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 33.8¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?Sports
Yes$749 @ 71.4¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$596 @ 55.7¢
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 0.5—
Under$496 @ 9.1¢
CA Independiente vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5Sports
Under$431 @ 30.8¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5—
Under$287 @ 21.9¢
New York City FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5—
Under$250 @ 74.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$242 @ 30.5¢
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Sports
Under$224 @ 63.3¢
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?Sports
Yes$210 @ 29.3¢
United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Sports
Under$200 @ 75.0¢
CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$186 @ 33.0¢
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$175 @ 21.0¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Sports
Under$165 @ 18.4¢
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?Sports
Yes$145 @ 7.6¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06?—
Yes$137 @ 14.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Sports
Rodolfo Bellato$126 @ 49.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?Sports
No$122 @ 55.0¢
Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$117 @ 14.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5—
Under$114 @ 12.4¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Sports
Under$105 @ 27.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$104 @ 9.4¢
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports
Josiah Harrell$100 @ 40.0¢
CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Sports
Under$100 @ 1.0¢
Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 1.5Sports
Under$100 @ 81.0¢
CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Under$100 @ 59.0¢
Al Hilal SFC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 2.5—
Under$100 @ 10.0¢
Atlanta United FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5—
Under$100 @ 85.9¢
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5—
Under$99 @ 7.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports
Raoni Barcelos$99 @ 75.0¢