0x1c40…445c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1c40d2aca02af38d7faffd3397366346fa04445c
Creator: WhaleGraph

Profitable

ROI

+104%

Win rate

37%

Brier

0.256

Resolved

Avg size

$44

Specialization by sphere

Track record accruing — per-sphere edge appears as markets resolve.

No resolved bets captured yet.

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Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$223	23.2¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$210	30.2¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Tech	Yes	$200	63.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$200	41.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$124	55.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$100	92.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$100	89.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$85	16.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$68	40.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$52	51.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$23	56.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$22	22.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	10.2¢
New pandemic in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2	14.0¢