0x1a2d…e3d6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1a2d5f1b639c487ba615732f68d78599316ce3d6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

52% @ 41.1¢

Brier

0.265

Resolved

189

Avg size

$89

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	56% (5/9)	-33%	9
Politics	29% (2/7)	+21%	7
Other	57% (4/7)	-17%	7
Crypto	40% (2/5)	+117%	5
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Sports9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-33%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
+21%
Other7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
-17%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+117%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

48% hit · 14/29

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$50	3.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$293	41.0¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$747	44.8¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5	Over	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$118	29.3¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-4.5)	Curaçao	$86	59.8¢	Lost
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$242	64.0¢	Won
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	$272	54.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	FaZe	$632	79.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$147	62.0¢	Won
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	$682	7.8¢	Lost
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$922	61.9¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$639	78.0¢	Won
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	$98	58.5¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	$1.0k	82.1¢	Won
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	$1.1k	57.5¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	$1.5k	51.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$3.7k	42.8¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	$544	72.9¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$279	74.7¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	$140	50.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	No	$975	71.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	$49	50.0¢	Won
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	$31	28.3¢	Lost
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$105	3.0¢	Lost
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	$2.2k	23.9¢	Won
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner	FURIA Esports	$50	25.0¢	Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Lost

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$293 @ 41.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
Yes$747 @ 44.8¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$118 @ 29.3¢
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Lost
Curaçao$86 @ 59.8¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Won
Yes$242 @ 64.0¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerWon
FURIA Esports$272 @ 54.4¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageWon
FaZe$632 @ 79.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$147 @ 62.0¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Lost
No$682 @ 7.8¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$922 @ 61.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$639 @ 78.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Won
Yes$98 @ 58.5¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Won
No$1.0k @ 82.1¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?Lost
No$1.1k @ 57.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Won
No$1.5k @ 51.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$3.7k @ 42.8¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsWon
Bilibili Gaming$544 @ 72.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
No$279 @ 74.7¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$140 @ 50.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$975 @ 71.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$49 @ 50.0¢
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?Lost
Yes$31 @ 28.3¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$105 @ 3.0¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 23.9¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 WinnerLost
FURIA Esports$50 @ 25.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Sports	Yes	$2.1k	76.7¢
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$1.3k	75.7¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$267	66.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$229	66.0¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$152	1.9¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$86	4.1¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Crypto	No	$57	4.9¢

Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Sports
Yes$2.1k @ 76.7¢
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$1.3k @ 75.7¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Sports
No$267 @ 66.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Sports
No$229 @ 66.0¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto
No$152 @ 1.9¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Crypto
No$86 @ 4.1¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?Crypto
No$57 @ 4.9¢