0x176e…cdd4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x176eb738f01c5b7dc49d62e5148e2f98d804cdd4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.2pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

84% @ 70.8¢

Brier

0.139

Resolved

100

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	71% (40/56)	-6%	56
Politics	75% (21/28)	+32%	28
Other	43% (6/14)	-77%	14
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+28%	3

Sports56 bets
Hit rate
71% (40/56)
ROI
-6%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
75% (21/28)
ROI
+32%
Other14 bets
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
ROI
-77%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+28%

Track record

69% hit · 70/101

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Gen.G	$2	66.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)	Keiichiro Nakamura	$1	76.0¢	Lost
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz	Arthur Fils	$2	57.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)	Karmine Corp	$1	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Play-In	Misa Esports	$1	36.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	FUT Esports	$1	61.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	$1	45.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	$1	57.0¢	Lost
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	$27	83.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	No	$3	72.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	$5	57.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	$1	72.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1	90.0¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$10	56.9¢	Won
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	$3	89.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	$3	85.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$20	66.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	66.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$5	66.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	58.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$5	84.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	$1	62.0¢	Won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	$1	67.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	$1	53.0¢	Won
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?	No	$1	65.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1	71.0¢	Won
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	No	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	$1	81.2¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$49	65.8¢	Won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	$1	89.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1	75.2¢	Won
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1	87.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$27	74.7¢	Won
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Buccaneers	$1	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1	85.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$11	70.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$4	85.7¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$2	84.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	$10	78.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$1	87.0¢	Won
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	$2	81.0¢	Won
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	$47	57.1¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Won
Gen.G$2 @ 66.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)Lost
Keiichiro Nakamura$1 @ 76.0¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor FritzLost
Arthur Fils$2 @ 57.0¢
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Won
Karmine Corp$1 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Play-InLost
Misa Esports$1 @ 36.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Lost
FUT Esports$1 @ 61.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?Lost
No$1 @ 45.0¢
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Lost
Dplus KIA$1 @ 57.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$27 @ 83.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?Lost
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Lost
No$3 @ 72.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLost
HANJIN BRION$5 @ 57.0¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)Lost
Gen.G$1 @ 72.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 90.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$10 @ 56.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseWon
No$3 @ 89.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Won
No$3 @ 85.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 66.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$5 @ 66.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$2 @ 58.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 84.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageWon
Dplus KIA$1 @ 62.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLost
Anyone's Legend$1 @ 67.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Won
No$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?Lost
No$1 @ 65.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Won
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Lost
No$1 @ 81.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 65.8¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?Won
Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1 @ 75.2¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$27 @ 74.7¢
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Won
Buccaneers$1 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$11 @ 70.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$4 @ 85.7¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsWon
Aurora$1 @ 62.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Won
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 81.0¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Won
No$47 @ 57.1¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$60	71.9¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$27	83.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$20	89.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$15	64.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$10	81.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Politics	No	$10	62.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	66.0¢
Steelers vs. Browns	Sports	Steelers	$10	58.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	Politics	No	$10	17.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	Yes	$5	70.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5	84.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$5	71.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$5	66.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Sports	LGD Gaming	$5	61.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Sports	HANJIN BRION	$5	57.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$5	53.3¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	74.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$3	78.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$3	74.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	—	No	$3	72.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	73.0¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$2	59.4¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz	—	Arthur Fils	$2	57.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$1	90.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	No	$1	81.2¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Anyones Legend	$1	67.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	71.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Sports	No	$1	85.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$1	59.0¢
Cardinals vs. Giants	Sports	Cardinals	$1	56.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$60 @ 71.9¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?—
No$27 @ 83.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 89.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 64.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$10 @ 81.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics
No$10 @ 62.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
Steelers vs. BrownsSports
Steelers$10 @ 58.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Politics
No$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
Yes$5 @ 70.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 84.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$5 @ 71.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$5 @ 66.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSports
LGD Gaming$5 @ 61.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSports
HANJIN BRION$5 @ 57.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$5 @ 53.3¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 74.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$3 @ 78.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$3 @ 74.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?—
No$3 @ 72.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 73.0¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$2 @ 59.4¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz—
Arthur Fils$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$1 @ 90.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Sports
No$1 @ 81.2¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Anyones Legend$1 @ 67.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Sports
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$1 @ 59.0¢
Cardinals vs. GiantsSports
Cardinals$1 @ 56.0¢