← Smart money
0x162f…798d
ProfitableEdge
+55.1pp
ROI
+207%
Win rate
100% @ 44.9¢
Brier
0.341
Resolved
107
Avg size
$863
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 80% (4/5) | +201% | 5 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +188% | 1 |
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +201%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +188%
Track record
83% hit · 5/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | $11.9k | 64.9¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $18.1k | 17.0¢ | Won |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $62.3k | 39.3¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.7k | 7.0¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $14.2k | 34.8¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | No | $243 | 87.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$11.9k @ 64.9¢
- Yes$18.1k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$62.3k @ 39.3¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 7.0¢
- No$14.2k @ 34.8¢
- No$243 @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$98.2k @ 98.9¢
- No$94.8k @ 99.2¢
- No$59.7k @ 99.5¢
- No$43.9k @ 97.5¢
- Yes$41.1k @ 98.3¢
- Yes$30.5k @ 95.3¢
- No$24.5k @ 98.1¢
- Yes$24.4k @ 81.3¢
- No$22.9k @ 71.7¢
- No$19.5k @ 97.4¢
- No$19.2k @ 95.8¢
- No$17.1k @ 81.5¢
- No$16.1k @ 98.7¢
- Yes$14.4k @ 96.2¢
- No$14.2k @ 99.0¢
- No$13.2k @ 88.3¢
- No$10.7k @ 88.8¢
- No$9.9k @ 99.3¢
- No$9.8k @ 73.4¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$9.7k @ 65.0¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$7.4k @ 98.3¢
- No$6.3k @ 89.5¢
- No$5.0k @ 96.9¢
- No$4.9k @ 85.4¢
- No$4.9k @ 93.0¢
- No$4.6k @ 86.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 91.0¢
- Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.0k @ 96.8¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 12.8¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?GeopoliticsYes$2.6k @ 24.6¢