← Smart money
0x1521…f23e
SharpEdge
+13.6pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
74% @ 60.6¢
Brier
0.039
Resolved
354
Avg size
$456
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 64% (7/11) | -6% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +17% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (7/11)
- ROI
- -6%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +17%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
62% hit · 8/13- No$49.7k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$207 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 0.4¢
- No$11.0k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$26.7k @ 66.7¢
- No$11.1k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$52.2k @ 86.9¢
- No$4.5k @ 22.7¢
- Yes$24.6k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$720 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$36.2k @ 68.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $20.4k | 34.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 83.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $110 | 83.0¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 50.0¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 50.0¢ |
- Yes$20.4k @ 34.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 83.0¢
- No$110 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢