0x1521…f23e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.4pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

99% @ 80.5¢

Brier

0.053

Resolved

264

Avg size

$571

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	64% (7/11)	-6%	11
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
-6%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

62% hit · 8/13

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$49.7k	82.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$11.0k	55.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$26.7k	66.7¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$11.1k	85.7¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$52.2k	86.9¢	Won
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	$207	86.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10.6k	0.4¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$4.5k	22.7¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$24.6k	82.0¢	Won
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	$720	88.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	46.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$36.2k	68.5¢	Lost

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$49.7k @ 82.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$11.0k @ 55.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$26.7k @ 66.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$11.1k @ 85.7¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$52.2k @ 86.9¢
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Won
Yes$207 @ 86.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$10.6k @ 0.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$4.5k @ 22.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$24.6k @ 82.0¢
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$720 @ 88.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 46.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$36.2k @ 68.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$35.2k	39.5¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$35.2k @ 39.5¢