0x1437…acfe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+0.9pp

ROI

+210%

Win rate

4% @ 3.0¢

Brier

0.032

Resolved

3790

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	12% (10/86)	+795%	86
Politics	9% (3/33)	-98%	33
Crypto	0% (0/28)	-100%	28
Sports	0% (0/12)	-100%	12
Tech	13% (1/8)	-90%	8
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	-58%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other86 bets
Hit rate
12% (10/86)
ROI
+795%
Politics33 bets
Hit rate
9% (3/33)
ROI
-98%
Crypto28 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/28)
ROI
-100%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/12)
ROI
-100%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-90%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-58%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

9% hit · 16/171

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in June?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$18	0.1¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$21	26.4¢	Won
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 4?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$47	0.2¢	Lost
Will Chainlink reach $12 in June?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$12	1.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	No	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?	Yes	$14	1.3¢	Lost
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	$115	6.6¢	Lost
Did a software or control system failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?	Yes	$11	1.9¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$28	56.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $140 in June?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 4?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Claude Code Commits be between 500.0k and 550.0k on June 30?	Yes	$54	3.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	No	$67	3.3¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	$63	0.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$42	3.0¢	Lost
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$190	1.6¢	Lost
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	$1.0k	9.7¢	Won
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Will Ethena reach $0.16 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.1¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
No$21 @ 26.4¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 4?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$47 @ 0.2¢
Will Chainlink reach $12 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 1.2¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Lost
No$11 @ 1.0¢
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.3¢
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Lost
No$115 @ 6.6¢
Did a software or control system failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.9¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Lost
Yes$28 @ 56.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 in June?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Code Commits be between 500.0k and 550.0k on June 30?Lost
Yes$54 @ 3.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Lost
No$67 @ 3.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Lost
Yes$63 @ 0.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$42 @ 3.0¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$190 @ 1.6¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 9.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.1k	83.2¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Tech	No	$512	80.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Politics	No	$450	22.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	Yes	$240	12.0¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$213	52.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$180	72.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$90	9.0¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$86	66.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Politics	No	$83	59.5¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Tech	No	$74	74.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$71	35.5¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$60	6.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$57	71.5¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$55	25.2¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Tech	No	$41	13.7¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$30	70.4¢
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$27	20.9¢
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Politics	Yes	$26	34.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$22	11.0¢
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$17	71.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$14	53.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Crypto	Up	$13	42.0¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Tech	OpenAI	$12	4.0¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	Culture	Yes	$11	20.9¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	No	$9	18.1¢
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.6¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$7	74.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7	65.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tech	No	$6	3.0¢
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Politics	Yes	$4	21.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$2.1k @ 83.2¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech
No$512 @ 80.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Politics
No$450 @ 22.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
Yes$240 @ 12.0¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
No$213 @ 52.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$180 @ 72.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
No$86 @ 66.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
No$83 @ 59.5¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?Tech
No$74 @ 74.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$71 @ 35.5¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$57 @ 71.5¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$55 @ 25.2¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech
No$41 @ 13.7¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$30 @ 70.4¢
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics
No$27 @ 20.9¢
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics
Yes$26 @ 34.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
No$17 @ 71.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 53.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?Crypto
Up$13 @ 42.0¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech
OpenAI$12 @ 4.0¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Culture
Yes$11 @ 20.9¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
No$9 @ 18.1¢
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.6¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
No$7 @ 74.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech
No$6 @ 3.0¢
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢