← Smart money
0x1186…051b
SharpEdge
+6.0pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
58% @ 51.7¢
Brier
0.187
Resolved
2590
Avg size
$251
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (104/172) | +7% | 172 |
| Sports | 89% (8/9) | +11% | 9 |
| Science | 100% (8/8) | +29% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | -42% | 4 |
- Other172 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (104/172)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (8/9)
- ROI
- +11%
- Science8 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (8/8)
- ROI
- +29%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -42%
Track record
63% hit · 122/193- No$790 @ 79.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$659 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$313 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 28.4¢
- No$16.0k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$643 @ 26.5¢
- No$595 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$18.8k @ 77.1¢
- No$4.0k @ 86.9¢
- Yes$248 @ 24.4¢
- Yes$32.5k @ 75.9¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 62.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 63.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Netherlands$1.2k @ 59.0¢
- 49ers$780 @ 78.0¢
- Rockets$600 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 63.4¢
- No$113 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 70.9¢
- No$2.2k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 41.3¢
- No$24.4k @ 76.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 57.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 60.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 57.0¢
- No$46 @ 2.6¢
- No$17.9k @ 76.7¢
- No$5.4k @ 51.8¢
- No$3.5k @ 71.0¢
- Auburn$918 @ 80.0¢
- No$788 @ 84.6¢
- No$2.2k @ 86.6¢
- Yes$441 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$978 @ 48.8¢
- Yes$641 @ 12.9¢
- Oregon$689 @ 75.0¢
- No$798 @ 87.3¢
- No$2.1k @ 69.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
- No$4 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 68.0¢
- No$670 @ 53.8¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 25.5¢
- Crawford$13.9k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 79.2¢
- No$5.9k @ 46.8¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Culture | Yes | $47.9k | 58.2¢ |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Culture | No | $5.1k | 75.0¢ |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? | Science | Yes | $739 | 38.5¢ |
- Yes$47.9k @ 58.2¢
- No$5.1k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$739 @ 38.5¢