← Smart money
0x108d…68db
SharpEdge
+6.1pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
61% @ 54.4¢
Brier
0.166
Resolved
319
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 64% (87/136) | +33% | 136 |
| Politics | 56% (10/18) | -3% | 18 |
| Sports | 29% (2/7) | -14% | 7 |
| Crypto | 20% (1/5) | +10% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (2/4) | +7% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (4/4) | +15% | 4 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Other136 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (87/136)
- ROI
- +33%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (10/18)
- ROI
- -3%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- -14%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- +10%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +7%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +15%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
61% hit · 107/175- Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
- Wild vs. StarsLostWild$3 @ 86.0¢
- BC.Game Esports$1 @ 44.0¢
- No$1 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
- No$3 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 21.8¢
- Flyers$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 82.0¢
- No$1 @ 61.0¢
- Ducks$1 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Flyers$2 @ 11.0¢
- Panthers$4 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- 9z$1 @ 37.0¢
- Avalanche$3 @ 59.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.8¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.7¢
- Canucks$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 74.0¢
- Wild$9 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
- Utah$2 @ 81.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- Utah$1 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 87.0¢
- No$11 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 38.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 72.0¢
- Flames vs. StarsLostFlames$1 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 44.0¢
- Canadiens$1 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 29.7¢
- Devils$3 @ 79.6¢
- Senators$1 @ 24.0¢
- Capitals$3 @ 82.0¢
- Flyers$2 @ 24.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $7 | 92.7¢ |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | Tech | No | $7 | 93.8¢ |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | No | $3 | 78.5¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $3 | 93.6¢ |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | No | $1 | 80.0¢ |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Economy | No | $1 | 83.0¢ |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 49.0¢ |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | Economy | Yes | $1 | 56.0¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | — | No | $1 | 79.0¢ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Politics | No | $1 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 33.0¢ |
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$7 @ 92.7¢
- No$7 @ 93.8¢
- No$3 @ 78.5¢
- No$3 @ 93.6¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- No$1 @ 79.0¢
- No$1 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢