0x108d…68db

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x108d4cf10de91d535fda791bd93ba5d1ad7768db
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.6pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

62% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.165

Resolved

328

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (87/136)	+31%	136
Politics	50% (8/16)	-5%	16
Sports	20% (1/5)	+13%	5
Crypto	20% (1/5)	+10%	5
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	+7%	4
Economy	100% (4/4)	+14%	4
Tech	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other136 bets
Hit rate
64% (87/136)
ROI
+31%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
-5%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+13%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+10%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+7%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+14%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

61% hit · 104/171

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Wild vs. Stars	Wild	$3	86.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	$1	44.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	No	$1	81.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	$3	16.3¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	84.6¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	21.8¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$2	82.0¢	Won
Will Mainz reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?	No	$1	61.0¢	Won
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	$1	45.0¢	Won
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Red Wings vs. Flyers	Flyers	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Bruins vs. Panthers	Panthers	$4	60.8¢	Won
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner	9z	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	$3	59.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	16.8¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$2	23.5¢	Lost
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Lost
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	$10	18.7¢	Lost
Canucks vs. Ducks	Canucks	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$2	74.0¢	Won
Ducks vs. Wild	Wild	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Won
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won
Utah vs. Kings	Utah	$2	81.0¢	Won
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	$1	62.0¢	Won
Oilers vs. Utah	Utah	$1	58.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$13	87.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$11	32.1¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	38.9¢	Lost
Will GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$1	72.0¢	Lost
Flames vs. Stars	Flames	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?	Yes	$1	44.0¢	Lost
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	29.7¢	Won
Senators vs. Devils	Devils	$3	79.6¢	Won
Senators vs. Devils	Senators	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Flyers vs. Capitals	Capitals	$3	82.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	$2	24.0¢	Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Wild vs. StarsLost
Wild$3 @ 86.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerLost
BC.Game Esports$1 @ 44.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Lost
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.6¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.8¢
Hurricanes vs. FlyersLost
Flyers$1 @ 28.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?Won
Yes$2 @ 82.0¢
Will Mainz reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?Won
No$1 @ 61.0¢
Ducks vs. Golden KnightsWon
Ducks$1 @ 45.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Red Wings vs. FlyersLost
Flyers$2 @ 11.0¢
Bruins vs. PanthersWon
Panthers$4 @ 60.8¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 WinnerLost
9z$1 @ 37.0¢
Avalanche vs. WildWon
Avalanche$3 @ 59.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.7¢
Canucks vs. DucksWon
Canucks$1 @ 74.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Won
Yes$2 @ 74.0¢
Ducks vs. WildWon
Wild$9 @ 85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?Won
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 32.0¢
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-13?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
Utah vs. KingsWon
Utah$2 @ 81.0¢
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?Won
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Oilers vs. UtahWon
Utah$1 @ 58.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Won
Yes$13 @ 87.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$11 @ 32.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 38.9¢
Will GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 72.0¢
Flames vs. StarsLost
Flames$1 @ 35.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 44.0¢
Sabres vs. CanadiensWon
Canadiens$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$2 @ 29.7¢
Senators vs. DevilsWon
Devils$3 @ 79.6¢
Senators vs. DevilsLost
Senators$1 @ 24.0¢
Flyers vs. CapitalsWon
Capitals$3 @ 82.0¢
Flyers vs. CapitalsLost
Flyers$2 @ 24.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Politics	No	$22	91.3¢
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?	Tech	No	$8	93.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$8	36.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$7	92.7¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tech	No	$4	78.5¢
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Culture	No	$3	99.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	No	$3	93.6¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$2	19.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$2	95.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Tech	No	$2	98.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Politics	No	$2	28.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$2	86.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2	46.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	48.6¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	84.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$1	80.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	—	No	$1	80.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1	86.0¢
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	94.0¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Economy	No	$1	83.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	49.0¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Economy	Yes	$1	56.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	97.8¢
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	13.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	33.0¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	16.4¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
No$22 @ 91.3¢
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Tech
No$8 @ 93.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
No$8 @ 36.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$7 @ 92.7¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
No$4 @ 78.5¢
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Culture
No$3 @ 99.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
No$3 @ 93.6¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Politics
Yes$2 @ 19.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?—
No$2 @ 95.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Tech
No$2 @ 98.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Politics
No$2 @ 28.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$2 @ 46.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 48.6¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$1 @ 80.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?—
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 94.0¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economy
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 97.8¢
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 16.4¢