← Smart money
0x0f58…0ff0
SharpEdge
+2.5pp
ROI
+104%
Win rate
18% @ 15.3¢
Brier
0.075
Resolved
3225
Avg size
$75
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 29% (99/337) | +58% | 337 |
| Sports | 59% (27/46) | +345% | 46 |
| Politics | 24% (6/25) | +14% | 25 |
| Crypto | 25% (4/16) | +518% | 16 |
| Economy | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Tech | 25% (1/4) | -65% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -17% | 4 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +15% | 2 |
- Other337 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (99/337)
- ROI
- +58%
- Sports46 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (27/46)
- ROI
- +345%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (6/25)
- ROI
- +14%
- Crypto16 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (4/16)
- ROI
- +518%
- Economy9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -65%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -17%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
31% hit · 139/443- Yes$192 @ 64.0¢
- No$49 @ 98.0¢
- Yes$562 @ 3.0¢
- Vitality$750 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 2.5¢
- No$36 @ 0.3¢
- No$49 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$900 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 3.9¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 11.4¢
- Yes$37 @ 6.0¢
- No$60 @ 60.0¢
- Switzerland$1.9k @ 30.9¢
- No$719 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$880 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$260 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$120 @ 1.2¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$495 @ 51.0¢
- No$111 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- No$110 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 67.3¢
- Yes$85 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$545 @ 1.6¢
- Rockets$765 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$296 @ 6.4¢
- No$9 @ 2.4¢
- No$217 @ 72.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 31.2¢
- Vitality$1.0k @ 42.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
- No$130 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- Knicks$1.0k @ 33.0¢
- No$557 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- No$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 31.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$277 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 5.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | No | $995 | 1.0¢ |
| Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $266 | 72.3¢ |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $74 | 2.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ |
| Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $3 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1 | 14.0¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $1 | 79.0¢ |
| Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ |
| Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 3.3¢ |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 15.0¢ |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.0¢ |
- No$995 @ 1.0¢
- No$266 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$74 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
- No$1 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢