0x0dde…94c3

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other33 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (29/33)

  ROI

  +7%

• Politics26 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (26/26)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +26%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +4%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +4%

• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$261 @ 85.1¢
• Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Won
  No$545 @ 89.4¢
• Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Won
  Yes$563 @ 88.3¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 85.4¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionWon
  Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Won
  No$712 @ 89.0¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
  Yes$22 @ 29.6¢
• Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Won
  No$890 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$212 @ 71.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$632 @ 68.2¢
• Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?Won
  No$5 @ 50.0¢
• US civil war before 2027?Won
  No$927 @ 86.9¢
• Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?Won
  No$615 @ 77.3¢
• Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
• Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Lost
  No$2.0k @ 65.2¢
• Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$629 @ 82.9¢
• Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 74.7¢
• Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
  No$5.2k @ 85.2¢
• Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?Won
  No$160 @ 86.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
  No$810 @ 81.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 78.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$15.4k @ 86.6¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Won
  No$105 @ 87.4¢
• Epstein client list released by June 30?Won
  No$7.6k @ 80.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?Won
  No$5.5k @ 87.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Won
  No$170 @ 85.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan OmarWon
  Nothing$1.1k @ 86.0¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Won
  No$417 @ 82.6¢
• Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Won
  No$25 @ 87.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
  Yes$191 @ 76.5¢
• Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Won
  No$202 @ 68.2¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
  Yes$685 @ 79.7¢
• LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?Won
  No$182 @ 88.3¢
• Iran leadership change by March 31?Won
  No$170 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
  No$2.1k @ 86.3¢
• Trump out as President by June 30?Won
  No$4.9k @ 88.9¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$661 @ 74.3¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Won
  Yes$918 @ 86.5¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 83.6¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Won
  No$2.8k @ 86.9¢
• Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Won
  No$3.2k @ 86.7¢
• Trump out as President by March 31?Won
  No$4.0k @ 81.0¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$50.3k @ 96.7¢
• Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Won
  No$2.6k @ 95.8¢
• Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$481 @ 96.1¢
• US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.3k @ 94.9¢
• Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Won
  No$645 @ 91.2¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$111 @ 84.0¢

Current positions

• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$21.0k @ 93.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$16.9k @ 88.2¢
• Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$13.4k @ 94.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$13.3k @ 91.1¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$10.3k @ 91.0¢
• Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$8.5k @ 85.0¢
• Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$7.8k @ 84.6¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$7.8k @ 89.9¢
• US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics
  No$7.5k @ 88.9¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$7.0k @ 87.1¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5.5k @ 85.1¢
• Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 92.9¢
• Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$4.4k @ 93.1¢
• Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$4.3k @ 81.7¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 90.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 84.5¢
• Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$3.9k @ 87.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$3.8k @ 84.4¢
• Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 93.2¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$2.7k @ 83.2¢
• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 88.3¢
• Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 80.8¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 92.6¢
• Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 89.0¢
• U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 83.8¢
• Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 89.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$989 @ 76.9¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$758 @ 84.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics
  No$458 @ 91.6¢
• Obama arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$455 @ 91.0¢