0x0d7e…cb13

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

+19.5pp

ROI

+118%

Win rate

32% @ 12.8¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

445

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	18% (2/11)	-56%	11
Other	50% (3/6)	+170%	6
Culture	50% (1/2)	+19%	2

32% hit · 6/19

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$288	63.0¢	Won
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$284	0.4¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	$52	51.9¢	Won
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$124	0.2¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$6.5k	35.9¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	0.1¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	2.9¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$63	1.1¢	Lost
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	$175	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$627	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$26	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$259	64.6¢	Won
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	$8	65.6¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$340	0.2¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$26	0.5¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$65	10.2¢	Won

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Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$224	32.1¢
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$105	52.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$105	21.0¢
Trump out as President by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$63	0.6¢
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$58	8.3¢
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$25	1.6¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$24	3.4¢
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$21	1.4¢
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$13	1.9¢
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$4	0.8¢