0x0d5e…5c24

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0d5ee5c536ccd78d179487b3d7e43ae4304d5c24
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.6pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

64% @ 58.4¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

1982

Avg size

$13

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	62% (247/398)	+9%	398
Politics	61% (60/99)	-3%	99
Sports	54% (14/26)	+5%	26
Tech	69% (9/13)	+18%	13
Geopolitics	64% (7/11)	-34%	11
Culture	67% (4/6)	-2%	6
Economy	33% (1/3)	-0%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+10%	2

Other398 bets
Hit rate
62% (247/398)
ROI
+9%
Politics99 bets
Hit rate
61% (60/99)
ROI
-3%
Sports26 bets
Hit rate
54% (14/26)
ROI
+5%
Tech13 bets
Hit rate
69% (9/13)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
-34%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
-2%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-0%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+10%

Track record

61% hit · 343/558

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Critical Discord Incident by September 30?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$118	87.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$9	70.1¢	Won
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$5	7.7¢	Lost
GPT ads by December 31?	Yes	$28	40.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	1.8¢	Lost
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	$25	70.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 29?	Yes	$7	17.7¢	Lost
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$17	85.8¢	Won
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$15	71.0¢	Won
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$12	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?	Yes	$14	72.0¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	No	$165	82.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$5	81.0¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	$4	83.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Timberwolves	$4	79.0¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$16	80.6¢	Won
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?	Yes	$10	69.0¢	Lost
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$1.4k	71.5¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$4	82.1¢	Won
Ruse vs. Masarova: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	$3	65.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$19	20.8¢	Lost
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	$498	60.4¢	Won
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$81	89.7¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$37	39.2¢	Lost
Wang vs. Arango: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	$612	71.1¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$18	42.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$25	84.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$245	84.3¢	Won
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	$4	80.0¢	Won
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarova	Ruse	$5	51.5¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?	No	$4	23.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Lost
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$16	70.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$94	81.9¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$15	72.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$122	80.5¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$7	50.0¢	Won
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?	No	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$21	68.0¢	Lost
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$14	69.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$103	79.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	Yes	$8	40.5¢	Won
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$3	57.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	No	$41	51.5¢	Won
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Won

Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Won
Yes$118 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$9 @ 70.1¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
GPT ads by December 31?Lost
Yes$28 @ 40.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.8¢
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Lost
Yes$25 @ 70.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 29?Lost
Yes$7 @ 17.7¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Won
Yes$17 @ 85.8¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Won
Yes$15 @ 71.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?Lost
Yes$14 @ 72.0¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
No$165 @ 82.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$5 @ 81.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Won
Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersWon
Timberwolves$4 @ 79.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$16 @ 80.6¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?Lost
Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 71.5¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
No$4 @ 82.1¢
Ruse vs. Masarova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Won
Over 2.5$3 @ 65.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$19 @ 20.8¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Won
Yes$498 @ 60.4¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Won
No$81 @ 89.7¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 39.2¢
Wang vs. Arango: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Lost
Over$3 @ 51.0¢
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Lost
Yes$612 @ 71.1¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 42.9¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$245 @ 84.3¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Won
Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka MasarovaLost
Ruse$5 @ 51.5¢
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Lost
No$4 @ 23.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$16 @ 70.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$94 @ 81.9¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?Won
Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$122 @ 80.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$7 @ 50.0¢
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?Won
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
No$21 @ 68.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$14 @ 69.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$103 @ 79.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Won
Yes$8 @ 40.5¢
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Lost
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Won
No$41 @ 51.5¢
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?Won
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$502	76.9¢
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$243	77.0¢
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$191	70.3¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$180	79.8¢
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	Politics	No	$149	54.6¢
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$107	76.8¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$104	76.3¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$92	68.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$86	64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$85	43.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$66	66.0¢
Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?	Politics	No	$62	78.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$53	59.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$50	56.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$47	52.0¢
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Politics	Yes	$47	86.9¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$39	36.7¢
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$37	80.0¢
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$31	35.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$28	77.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$27	29.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$21	27.0¢
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?	Politics	Yes	$20	74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$12	13.0¢
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	No	$10	98.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	No	$9	93.0¢
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$7	82.0¢
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$5	49.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$5	96.1¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$2	49.0¢

Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Politics
Yes$502 @ 76.9¢
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$243 @ 77.0¢
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$191 @ 70.3¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$180 @ 79.8¢
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Politics
No$149 @ 54.6¢
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$107 @ 76.8¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$104 @ 76.3¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$92 @ 68.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$86 @ 64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$85 @ 43.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?Politics
No$62 @ 78.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$53 @ 59.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$50 @ 56.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$47 @ 52.0¢
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics
Yes$47 @ 86.9¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics
Yes$39 @ 36.7¢
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Politics
Yes$37 @ 80.0¢
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$31 @ 35.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$28 @ 77.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$27 @ 29.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$21 @ 27.0¢
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 13.0¢
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
No$10 @ 98.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$7 @ 82.0¢
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Politics
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$5 @ 96.1¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$2 @ 49.0¢