0x0d51…5789

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0d5119cf3d14e3575a3ab42fe31dd925c1065789
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

45% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.192

Resolved

343

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (65/147)	+12%	147
Tech	31% (5/16)	+21%	16
Sports	40% (6/15)	-23%	15
Politics	45% (5/11)	+87%	11
Geopolitics	83% (5/6)	+110%	6
Economy	50% (1/2)	-18%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other147 bets
Hit rate
44% (65/147)
ROI
+12%
Tech16 bets
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
ROI
+21%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
ROI
-23%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
+87%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+110%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 87/198

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$109	44.3¢	Won
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$1	51.0¢	Won
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$5	78.0¢	Won
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11	18.9¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	44.0¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$2	48.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$11	60.2¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$8	42.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5	Over	$1	73.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	41.8¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	$3	1.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	41.0¢	Lost
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	41.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$6	58.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	$13	88.1¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-03-26?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$3	73.1¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1	64.0¢	Won
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Lost
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$2	26.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$6	27.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	$3	33.1¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$1	48.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	43.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$10	53.0¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1	71.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$11	75.0¢	Won
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$11	75.4¢	Lost
Will CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?	Yes	$2	30.5¢	Lost
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5	Under	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	No	$5	63.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$2	77.0¢	Won
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	13.3¢	Lost
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score	No	$2	48.0¢	Won
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Won
Will 2+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$78	55.8¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Yes	$5	13.7¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	$33	45.3¢	Won

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$109 @ 44.3¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 51.0¢
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$5 @ 78.0¢
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$11 @ 18.9¢
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 44.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 48.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$11 @ 60.2¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$1 @ 73.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 41.8¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 41.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 41.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$6 @ 58.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$13 @ 88.1¢
Will France win on 2026-03-26?Won
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$3 @ 73.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$2 @ 40.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$2 @ 26.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 27.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Won
Yes$3 @ 33.1¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$1 @ 48.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1 @ 43.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$10 @ 53.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$1 @ 71.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$11 @ 75.0¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
No$11 @ 75.4¢
Will CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.5¢
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Won
Under$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Won
No$5 @ 63.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 77.0¢
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Won
Yes$4 @ 75.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.3¢
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$2 @ 48.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will 2+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Lost
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$78 @ 55.8¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.7¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
No$33 @ 45.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$109	44.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$30	28.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$29	38.9¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$10	31.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$9	16.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	9.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$8	47.5¢
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Sports	Yes	$3	55.0¢
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$1	1.4¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$109 @ 44.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$30 @ 28.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$29 @ 38.9¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$10 @ 31.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
Yes$9 @ 16.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 9.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$8 @ 47.5¢
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Sports
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢