0x0d31…3dc7

Specialization by sphere

• Other6 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (6/6)

  ROI

  +36%

• Politics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +2%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseWon
  No$10.1k @ 95.0¢
• NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
  Lakers$1.0k @ 88.8¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 88.9¢
• TikTok sale announced before April?Won
  No$2.0k @ 62.9¢
• Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Won
  No$1.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Won
  No$101 @ 88.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$540 @ 88.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 76.5¢
• Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?Won
  No$104 @ 86.7¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$715 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Won
  Yes$34 @ 34.0¢

Current positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$10.1k @ 95.0¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$17 @ 88.0¢