0x0bbe…552d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0bbeab2072709eefa207995559ad2daae810552d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.3pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

80% @ 61.7¢

Brier

0.091

Resolved

105

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	30% (3/10)	+14%	10
Other	50% (4/8)	+37%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
+14%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+37%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

42% hit · 8/19

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?	No	$17	66.0¢	Won
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$120	59.2¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$17	38.6¢	Lost
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$46	87.5¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$6	83.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$67	73.5¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$6	26.6¢	Lost
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	$1	55.0¢	Won
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	5.7¢	Lost
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$1	8.2¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$60	85.3¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$6	14.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$16	45.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$7	43.0¢	Lost

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?Won
No$17 @ 66.0¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$120 @ 59.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 38.6¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$46 @ 87.5¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$6 @ 83.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$67 @ 73.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 26.6¢
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Won
Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.7¢
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$60 @ 85.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 14.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$16 @ 45.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
Yes$7 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$21	42.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$11	76.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$9	89.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$9	88.9¢

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$21 @ 42.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$11 @ 76.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$9 @ 88.9¢