← Smart money
0x0b21…deb6
ProfitableEdge
+4.4pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
72% @ 67.2¢
Brier
0.135
Resolved
2120
Avg size
$418
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (72/120) | +3% | 120 |
| Politics | 82% (27/33) | +14% | 33 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (4/4) | +23% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -80% | 2 |
- Other120 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (72/120)
- ROI
- +3%
- Politics33 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (27/33)
- ROI
- +14%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +23%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -80%
Track record
65% hit · 104/159- No$10.3k @ 84.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 26.0¢
- No$7.3k @ 52.6¢
- No$154 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$770 @ 77.0¢
- No$185 @ 49.0¢
- No$9.4k @ 77.4¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 62.7¢
- No$520 @ 64.0¢
- No$777 @ 42.6¢
- No$3.5k @ 60.2¢
- No$4.1k @ 77.5¢
- No$2.3k @ 78.0¢
- No$78.3k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 8.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 37.7¢
- No$1.9k @ 72.7¢
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?LostYes$282 @ 76.0¢
- No$395 @ 85.9¢
- No$5.0k @ 73.1¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 40.5¢
- No$525 @ 84.0¢
- No$7.2k @ 62.3¢
- No$16.6k @ 63.7¢
- No$3.1k @ 71.2¢
- No$435 @ 21.7¢
- No$9.0k @ 73.4¢
- Yes$9.5k @ 57.3¢
- No$35.5k @ 84.2¢
- Yes$233 @ 39.0¢
- No$5.7k @ 88.8¢
- No$4.5k @ 82.8¢
- No$317 @ 41.9¢
- No$1.4k @ 34.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 73.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 65.5¢
- No$26.2k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 18.5¢
- No$4.6k @ 72.3¢
- No$3.3k @ 84.5¢
- Yes$7.7k @ 65.4¢
- No$88 @ 25.4¢
- No$5.5k @ 85.0¢
- No$431 @ 54.0¢
- No$166 @ 72.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 70.9¢
- No$20.7k @ 88.3¢
- No$120 @ 12.0¢
- No$480 @ 31.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$74.7k @ 84.7¢
- No$21.8k @ 94.1¢
- No$18.1k @ 82.8¢
- No$12.6k @ 54.7¢
- No$8.3k @ 82.9¢
- No$6.5k @ 92.5¢
- No$3.0k @ 68.4¢
- No$2.7k @ 76.7¢
- No$2.4k @ 67.4¢
- No$2.4k @ 79.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 88.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 19.0¢