← Smart money
0x0751…c5ec
SharpEdge
+11.6pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
89% @ 77.3¢
Brier
0.032
Resolved
90
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 93% (13/14) | +13% | 14 |
| Other | 58% (7/12) | -6% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (6/6) | +8% | 6 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +43% | 1 |
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 93% (13/14)
- ROI
- +13%
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (7/12)
- ROI
- -6%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +8%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +43%
Track record
82% hit · 27/33- Yes$2 @ 96.0¢
- No$5 @ 90.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 91.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 98.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
- No$1 @ 89.0¢
- No$20 @ 97.0¢
- No$2 @ 90.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 91.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
- No$2 @ 96.0¢
- No$5 @ 81.7¢
- No$1 @ 98.0¢
- No$1 @ 96.3¢
- No$1 @ 97.0¢
- No$37 @ 92.6¢
- No$1 @ 97.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 83.0¢
- No$2 @ 97.2¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢
- No$10 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 83.2¢
- No$53 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.1¢
- No$1 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- No$1 @ 71.3¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $32 | 73.6¢ |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $17 | 50.5¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 70.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 96.0¢ |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 57.4¢ |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.9¢ |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ |
- No$32 @ 73.6¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$17 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 70.0¢
- No$1 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.8¢