← Smart money
0x0751…c5ec
SharpEdge
+11.3pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
89% @ 77.3¢
Brier
0.032
Resolved
88
Avg size
$1
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (4/7) | +1% | 7 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +29% | 4 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +43% | 1 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +29%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +43%
Track record
67% hit · 8/12| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weed rescheduled by June 30? | No | $10 | 70.6¢ | Won |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30? | Yes | $1 | 33.0¢ | Lost |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | $1 | 7.1¢ | Lost |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | $6 | 83.2¢ | Won |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | $53 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | $4 | 14.1¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $1 | 72.0¢ | Won |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | $5 | 83.6¢ | Won |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Yes | $1 | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | $1 | 82.0¢ | Won |
- No$10 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 83.2¢
- No$53 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.1¢
- No$1 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$32 @ 73.6¢
- No$20 @ 97.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$17 @ 50.5¢
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?PoliticsNo$11 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 70.0¢
- No$9 @ 86.0¢
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6 @ 92.1¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2 @ 83.0¢
- No$2 @ 90.3¢
- No$1 @ 96.0¢
- No$1 @ 98.0¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$1 @ 96.3¢
- No$1 @ 97.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- No$1 @ 97.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.4¢
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?PoliticsYes$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.8¢