0x05f6…25a1

Specialization by sphere

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (3/8)

  ROI

  +56%

• Economy5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  +33%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Other1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +49%

• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
  No$16 @ 13.0¢
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
  Yes$5.8k @ 42.5¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
  Yes$266 @ 5.4¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$2.0k @ 0.7¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
  Yes$218 @ 10.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$720 @ 1.6¢
• Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
  No$22.2k @ 51.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Won
  No$16.8k @ 88.0¢
• Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Won
  Yes$12.1k @ 57.6¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
  No$11.9k @ 28.4¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
  Yes$39.4k @ 68.1¢
• Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsWon
  1WIN$27.2k @ 67.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$89.6k @ 50.6¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$186.0k @ 57.4¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$35.5k @ 42.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$104 @ 18.4¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 11.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.4k @ 5.0¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$306.6k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$306.6k @ 50.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$30.6k @ 46.2¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$12.7k @ 13.6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$12.5k @ 69.7¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$11.0k @ 20.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$11.0k @ 20.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$11.0k @ 20.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9.1k @ 61.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$6.3k @ 45.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.3k @ 72.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$3.4k @ 70.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3.0k @ 39.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 33.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 50.0¢
• Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$1.2k @ 6.5¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 23.8¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  Yes$882 @ 20.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
  Yes$751 @ 3.7¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics
  Yes$560 @ 6.0¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics
  Yes$544 @ 9.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$466 @ 46.0¢
• Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$294 @ 29.0¢
• Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$3 @ 0.3¢