0x05e2…6e12

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x05e26c775ecfe91b897d47f134c1bf5900ca6e12
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.7pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

64% @ 59.2¢

Brier

0.220

Resolved

2291

Avg size

$914

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (55/90)	+24%	90
Politics	64% (7/11)	+38%	11
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+42%	2

Other90 bets
Hit rate
61% (55/90)
ROI
+24%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+38%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+42%

Track record

62% hit · 64/103

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$64	64.1¢	Lost
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?	No	$5.6k	88.9¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$116	58.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$265	55.0¢	Lost
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$4.8k	69.5¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	$6.6k	67.4¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$9.2k	76.0¢	Won
Yoon reinstated as President before July?	No	$688	66.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	$954	13.0¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	No	$4.9k	71.9¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	Yes	$11.6k	56.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$6	63.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$24.0k	87.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$89	80.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	No	$9.3k	68.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$6	59.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?	No	$3.2k	85.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?	Yes	$37.3k	76.9¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$88.9k	52.8¢	Won
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?	No	$302	84.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	38.6¢	Won
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?	No	$33.5k	75.2¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$55.1k	13.4¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$42.3k	73.1¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$223	87.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	Yes	$245	49.4¢	Lost
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12?	No	$260	76.6¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$24.7k	86.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$283	30.0¢	Lost
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	No	$3.7k	83.9¢	Lost
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?	No	$2.5k	17.3¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$1.1k	16.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$279.2k	67.7¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	$85	86.5¢	Won
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?	Yes	$124	78.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?	Yes	$41.2k	79.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?	No	$1.5k	70.9¢	Won
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	$29.6k	50.6¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?	No	$15.3k	86.7¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?	Yes	$96.6k	48.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$37.4k	34.6¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	$156.6k	57.7¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$9.8k	19.6¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	Yes	$9.5k	88.0¢	Won
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?	No	$9.9k	85.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?	Yes	$713	70.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	No	$6.1k	89.5¢	Won
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	No	$5.0k	42.6¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$31.2k	55.4¢	Won
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?	No	$6.2k	73.1¢	Won

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$64 @ 64.1¢
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?Won
No$5.6k @ 88.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$116 @ 58.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$265 @ 55.0¢
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 69.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
No$6.6k @ 67.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Won
No$9.2k @ 76.0¢
Yoon reinstated as President before July?Won
No$688 @ 66.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
Yes$954 @ 13.0¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Lost
No$4.9k @ 71.9¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Won
Yes$11.6k @ 56.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$6 @ 63.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$24.0k @ 87.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$89 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
No$9.3k @ 68.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 59.0¢
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Won
No$3.2k @ 85.0¢
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Won
Yes$37.3k @ 76.9¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$88.9k @ 52.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Won
No$302 @ 84.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 38.6¢
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?Lost
No$33.5k @ 75.2¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$55.1k @ 13.4¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
Yes$42.3k @ 73.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$223 @ 87.0¢
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Lost
Yes$245 @ 49.4¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12?Won
No$260 @ 76.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$24.7k @ 86.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$283 @ 30.0¢
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$3.7k @ 83.9¢
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Won
No$2.5k @ 17.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 16.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$279.2k @ 67.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Won
No$85 @ 86.5¢
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Won
Yes$124 @ 78.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Won
Yes$41.2k @ 79.9¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Won
No$1.5k @ 70.9¢
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Lost
Yes$29.6k @ 50.6¢
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Won
No$15.3k @ 86.7¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Won
Yes$96.6k @ 48.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$37.4k @ 34.6¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
No$156.6k @ 57.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$9.8k @ 19.6¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Won
Yes$9.5k @ 88.0¢
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Won
No$9.9k @ 85.3¢
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?Won
Yes$713 @ 70.8¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Won
No$6.1k @ 89.5¢
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Lost
No$5.0k @ 42.6¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$31.2k @ 55.4¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Won
No$6.2k @ 73.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$61.4k	94.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$23.5k	84.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18.3k	83.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$64	64.1¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$61.4k @ 94.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$23.5k @ 84.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$18.3k @ 83.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$64 @ 64.1¢