← Smart money
0x05c6…d823
SharpEdge
-3.0pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
51% @ 53.9¢
Brier
0.194
Resolved
2098
Avg size
$73
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (928/1848) | +5% | 1848 |
| Sports | 18% (4/22) | +4% | 22 |
| Politics | 95% (21/22) | +38% | 22 |
| Science | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Crypto | 67% (4/6) | -51% | 6 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +4% | 3 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other1848 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (928/1848)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (4/22)
- ROI
- +4%
- Politics22 bets
- Hit rate
- 95% (21/22)
- ROI
- +38%
- Science6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -51%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +4%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 959/1909- No$2 @ 18.5¢
- Bulls vs. PacersLostBulls$5 @ 61.0¢
- No$5 @ 72.0¢
- Grizzlies$10 @ 64.0¢
- Knicks$4 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.6¢
- Suns vs. RocketsLostSuns$2 @ 18.0¢
- 76ers$5 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 84.0¢
- Pacers vs. KingsLostPacers$5 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 87.5¢
- Bulls$5 @ 62.0¢
- Wizards$2 @ 7.0¢
- Nuggets$5 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 80.8¢
- Suns$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 74.0¢
- Warriors$5 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 82.0¢
- Bucks$5 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
- No$2 @ 33.0¢
- Pistons$5 @ 76.0¢
- No$2 @ 15.0¢
- No$10 @ 89.0¢
- 76ers$5 @ 62.0¢
- Hornets$5 @ 63.0¢
- Wizards$2 @ 5.0¢
- No$2 @ 12.0¢
- Heat vs. PacersLostHeat$5 @ 73.0¢
- Lakers$10 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 73.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 59.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.0¢
- No$20 @ 81.0¢
- Clippers$5 @ 63.0¢
- No$22 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 46.0¢
- Pistons vs. HeatLostPistons$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
- Lakers$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
- Timberwolves$5 @ 66.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$22.3k @ 80.9¢
- Yes$11.4k @ 59.4¢
- Yes$9.8k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 39.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 95.6¢
- Yes$456 @ 78.0¢
- No$100 @ 93.0¢
- No$50 @ 98.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 84.0¢
- No$50 @ 83.5¢
- No$50 @ 88.1¢
- No$50 @ 94.0¢
- No$30 @ 88.6¢
- No$30 @ 97.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
- No$20 @ 97.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 93.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 80.3¢
- No$20 @ 97.5¢
- No$20 @ 96.4¢
- No$20 @ 93.0¢
- No$20 @ 89.0¢
- No$20 @ 89.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$20 @ 90.9¢
- No$20 @ 73.0¢
- No$20 @ 39.7¢
- No$20 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 56.0¢